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Stock Analysis

Aflac Inc.AFL

Price:$119.97Market Closed+1.63%at last close

P/E 12.37×· 5Y range 6.07–24.80×· 78th percentile of history

Sector: Financial Services · Industry: Accident & Health Insurance

AnalystsSell24 analysts
EW Score 37/65 · #156Mkt Cap 60.15BP/E 12.4Div Yield 2.01%ROE 16.5%
Low 6.1×12.4×High 24.8×

P/E 12.4× sits at the 78th percentile of its 5.089664613278576-year history.

Cash $5.61BNet debt $6.84BDebt $12.45B

Cash covers 45% of debt · Q3 2024.

Profilev45g6p90h28q37m50

PMP Verdict

Weak fundamentals, expensive

Strengths

  • Profitability90

Risks

  • Valuation45
  • Growth6
Revenue -6.1% CAGRP/E 12× · 78th pctl

Weak fundamentals at a demanding price.

Bull Case

  • ✓ROE 16.5% — efficient capital deployment
  • ✓Interest coverage 43.2× — debt well covered

What's happening with AFL

JP Morgan Maintains Neutral on Aflac, Raises Price Target to $119 — Benzinga, 1d agoLast big move: +2.0% on 2026-10-08

Profile

Valuation — 45/100 (Weak) P/E vs own history: 78th pct → 5/25 FCF yield: n/a → 10/25 P/S: 3.3x → 20/25 EV/EBIT: n/a → 10/25Valuation45Growth — 6/100 (Weak) Revenue CAGR: -6.1% → 0/25 Net income CAGR: -4.2% → 0/25 EPS CAGR 5Y: 1.6% → 6/25 Fwd implied growth: -20.2% → 0/25Growth6Profitability — 90/100 (Strong) ROIC: 20.1% → 20/25 ROE: 16.5% → 20/25 Net margin: 26.9% → 25/25 Operating margin: 32.7% → 25/25Profitability90Financial Health — 28/100 (Weak) Altman Z: 1.38 → 3/25 Current ratio: 0.11 → 0/25 Interest coverage: 43.2x → 25/25 Net cash / debt: n/a → 0/25Health28Quality — 37/100 (Weak) Piotroski F: 3/9 → 5/25 Beneish M: -2.48 → 20/25 FCF conversion: n/a → 0/25 Margin stability: σ 9.0% → 12/25Quality37Moat — 50/100 (Moderate) ROIC >12% years: 5/5 yrs → 25/25 Median gross margin: n/a → 0/25 FCF-positive years: n/a → 0/25 Worst-year net margin: worst 11.8% → 25/25Moat50

Strong profitability; growth, financial health, earnings quality and valuation lag behind.

How is each axis scored?
  • Valuation45/100 · Weak
    • P/E vs own history (78th pct)5/25
    • FCF yield (n/a)10/25
    • P/S (3.3x)20/25
    • EV/EBIT (n/a)10/25
  • Growth6/100 · Weak
    • Revenue CAGR (-6.1%)0/25
    • Net income CAGR (-4.2%)0/25
    • EPS CAGR 5Y (1.6%)6/25
    • Fwd implied growth (-20.2%)0/25
  • Profitability90/100 · Strong
    • ROIC (20.1%)20/25
    • ROE (16.5%)20/25
    • Net margin (26.9%)25/25
    • Operating margin (32.7%)25/25
  • Financial Health28/100 · Weak
    • Altman Z (1.38)3/25
    • Current ratio (0.11)0/25
    • Interest coverage (43.2x)25/25
    • Net cash / debt (n/a)0/25
  • Quality37/100 · Weak
    • Piotroski F (3/9)5/25
    • Beneish M (-2.48)20/25
    • FCF conversion (n/a)0/25
    • Margin stability (σ 9.0%)12/25
  • Moat50/100 · Moderate
    • ROIC >12% years (5/5 yrs)25/25
    • Median gross margin (n/a)0/25
    • FCF-positive years (n/a)0/25
    • Worst-year net margin (worst 11.8%)25/25

Risk Flags

  • ⚠Altman Z 1.4 — distress-zone balance sheet
  • ⚠Revenue shrinking 6.1%/yr

About Aflac Inc.

Aflac Inc offers supplemental health insurance and life insurance in the United States and Japan. Show more

In addition to its cancer policies, the company has broadened its product offerings to include accident, dental and vision, disability, and long-term-care insurance. It markets its products through independent distributors, selling the majority of its policies directly to consumers at their places of work, and also reaches out to its customers outside of their worksite through digital mediums. The company has two reportable business segments: Aflac Japan, which generates the maximum revenue, and Aflac U.S.

Headquarters: COLUMBUS, GA · Employees: 12,716 · Website ↗

Price History

Weekly Candlestick Chart — up to 5Y

Key Metrics

Financial snapshot · Tap any metric for its definition and grade

TTM Snapshot

trailing twelve months · YoY
Revenue
18.1B+14%
Op. Income
5.9B+85%
Net Income
4.9B+100%
EPS
9.53+112%
Operating CF
2.6B+2%

Valuation

45D+
P/E (TTM)12.4xA

Grade A: CheapPrice / TTM EPS (own statements) — vs own 5Y history: 6.1x–24.8x · 78th pct

P/FCF22.5xB

Grade B: FairPrice / Free Cash Flow per share (Finnhub). Inverse of FCF yield — negative when FCF is negative

FCF Yield4.5%C

Grade C: LowInverse of Finnhub P/FCF (own TTM FCF unavailable)

P/S (TTM)3.33xB

Grade B: FairPrice / TTM Revenue (own statements) — vs own 5Y history: 1.5x–3.8x · 82nd pct

EV/EBITDA10.3xA

Grade A: CheapEnterprise value / EBITDA (Finnhub) — capital-structure neutral — vs own 5Y history: 11.0x–12.7x · 9th pct

EV/Sales3.4xB

Grade B: FairEnterprise Value / TTM Revenue (Finnhub) — capital-structure neutral sales multiple

Forward P/E15.5xB

Grade B: FairPrice / next-year EPS estimate — shows whether the TTM multiple is rich or just front-loading growth

P/B Ratio2.04xA

Grade A: FairPrice to Book Value. Neg. equity = heavy buybacks

PEG Ratio1.40B

Grade B: FairFinnhub PEG — their P/E basis ÷ expected EPS growth. Suppressed when their P/E diverges >2× from our TTM P/E (different basis)

Dividend Yield2.01%A

Grade A: PaysTTM dividend yield (Finnhub) — annual dividends / price. None = no dividend; very high yield can signal distress

Payout Ratio24.6%A

Grade A: SafeDividends / Net Income (Finnhub) — share of earnings paid out; >90% or negative = unsustainable

P/E vs own 5Y historyAbove average · 78th pct

Profitability

90A+
ROIC20.1%A

Grade A: MoatNOPAT (EBIT less ~21% tax) / invested capital (equity + debt − cash). Flagship quality metric — durable >15% signals a moat

ROE16.5%C

Grade C: AverageReturn on Equity. Neg. equity = heavy buybacks

ROA4.1%D

Grade D: WeakReturn on Assets (Finnhub) — Net Income / Total Assets; how efficiently assets produce profit

Net Margin26.9%A

Grade A: HighNet Income / Revenue

Operating Margin32.7%A

Grade A: HighTTM EBIT / TTM Revenue

Gross Margin—

Gross Profit / Revenue

FCF Margin—

FCF / Revenue

True FCF Margin—

TTM (OCF − CapEx − SBC) / TTM Revenue — SBC treated as a real cost

Growth

6E
Revenue CAGR-6.1%D

Grade D: LowCompound annual revenue growth (up to 5Y depending on data availability)

Net Income CAGR-4.2%D

Grade D: LowCompound annual net income growth (up to 5Y depending on data availability)

EPS CAGR (5Y)1.6%D

Grade D: LowCompound annual EPS growth over up to 5Y of per-share earnings (own statements). Null when either endpoint EPS ≤ 0

Implied EPS Growth-20.2%D

Grade D: Decl.Analyst forward EPS (normalized basis) vs our GAAP TTM EPS — different bases, so extreme values usually mark cyclically depressed TTM earnings, not real growth

Dilution (5Y)-27.0%A

Grade A: BuybacksShare count change over 5Y

SBC / Net Income—

Stock-based comp/Net income. >30% = dilution risk

SBC / Revenue—

TTM stock-based comp / TTM Revenue

Financial Health

28E
Altman Z-Score1.38D

Grade D: DistressBankruptcy risk. >3 Safe, <1.8 Distress

Current Ratio0.11xD

Grade D: LowCurrent Assets/Liabilities

Quick Ratio0.11xD

Grade D: Low(Current Assets − Inventory) / Current Liabilities (Finnhub) — stricter liquidity test, excludes inventory

Interest Coverage43.2xA

Grade A: StrongEBIT/Interest. >10 Strong

Debt Repayment—

Years to repay net debt via FCF

Net Debt/EBIT—

Leverage. <2x Low, >4x High

Debt/Equity0.29xA

Grade A: LowDebt / Equity: <1 Conservative, >2 Risky. Not meaningful with non-positive equity; shown as unavailable rather than low debt.

Cash / Debt—

Cash covers how much of total debt. >1 = could repay all debt from cash

Quality

37D
Piotroski F-Score3/9D

Grade D: WeakFinancial strength 0–9. >7 Strong

Beneish M-Score-2.48A

Grade A: SafeEarnings manipulation risk. < -2.22 Safe

FCF Conversion—

FCF / Net Income

Margin Stability9.0%C

Grade C: AverageEBIT margin std deviation. Lower = stable

Capex / Revenue—

TTM CapEx / TTM Revenue — high % = capital-hungry business

Asset Turnover0.15xD

Grade D: LowRevenue / Total Assets (Finnhub) — how efficiently the asset base generates sales

Insider Transactions

SEC Form 4 · 8 records
Open-market · 90dBuy —Sell $10.0M (15)Net open-market selling

P/S codes are the directional signal; grants, option exercises and tax withholding carry none. Form 4 doesn't flag 10b5-1 plans — scheduled sales may appear within open-market sells.

Recent insider transactions
Trade dateTransactionShares
Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.
Filed
SellOpen market sale
-732
Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.
Filed
SellOpen market sale
-11468
Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.
Filed
SellOpen market sale
-40
Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.
Filed
SellOpen market sale
-11960
Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.
Filed
SellOpen market sale
-400
Show 3 more filings
Additional recent insider transactions
Trade dateTransactionShares
Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.
Filed
SellOpen market sale
-8393
Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.
Filed
SellOpen market sale
-950
Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.
Filed
SellOpen market sale
-3257
More metrics — Moat, Per Share, Balance Sheet, Market

Moat

50C
ROIC >12% Years5/5 yrsA

Grade A: DurableShare of completed fiscal years with ROIC > 12% — measures multi-year capital-return durability

Gross Margin (Med.)—

Median annual gross margin across available fiscal years — pricing-power durability

FCF-Positive Years—

Share of completed fiscal years with positive free cash flow

Net Margin Floor11.8%A

Grade A: DurableWeakest annual net margin across completed fiscal years — recession/downcycle resilience

Per Share

EPS (TTM)$9.70

Own TTM net income / shares — same earnings basis as P/E

Cash / Share$9.37

Cash & short-term investments per share (Finnhub)

Book Value / Share$60.35

Shareholders' equity per share (Finnhub). Negative = accumulated losses / heavy buybacks

Balance Sheet

Total Debt—

Total debt obligations (short + long term)

Cash & Equiv.$6.25B

Cash and short-term investments

Net Debt—

Total Debt minus Cash. Negative = Net Cash position

Total Equity$29.49B

Shareholders' equity (book value)

Asset / Liability1.34xC

Grade C: AdequateTotal Assets / Total Liabilities

Market

Market Cap$60.15B

Current Market Capitalization

Beta0.57B

Grade B: DefensivePrice sensitivity vs the market (Finnhub) — 1.0 moves with market, >1.2 amplifies swings

How grades work: each metric is graded A–D against fixed thresholds (tap a row for the meaning). Card grades map the pillar score to A+–E — a card grade is that pillar's own score, not an average of the rows shown.

Financials as of Jun 2026 · Ratio snapshot Oct 17, 2026

Key Insights: Aflac Inc. (AFL)

AFL is up 1.63% at the last close. Aflac Inc. meets only 3 of 9 Piotroski F-Score criteria — a sign of weak underlying fundamentals. Altman Z-Score of 1.38 is below the 1.81 distress threshold — an elevated financial-risk flag.

  • Beneish M-Score of -2.48 suggests a low likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Revenue has been contracting (CAGR ≈ -6%), which weighs on the growth outlook.
  • The stock currently yields 2.0% in dividends.

See how AFL ranks on the Capex Tracker — top 50 capital spenders compared.

Recent Market Moves

See all AFL moves →
DateSessionPriceMoveZ-Score
Oct 8Regular114.97+1.98%2.60
Oct 8After-hours114.94+1.95%2.57

Frequently Asked Questions about AFL

What is the current Aflac Inc. (AFL) stock price?

AFL is trading at $119.97 at the last market close, up 1.63% on the session. PreMarketPrice tracks AFL pre-market, intraday and after-hours prices.

Is AFL stock a buy right now?

PreMarketPrice's quantitative model rates Aflac Inc.'s financial health at 28/100. This is a data-driven snapshot of fundamentals, not investment advice.

Is AFL stock overvalued?

Aflac Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 12.4 and our valuation score rates it 45/100 (higher = cheaper vs. its own history). See the Valuation History and Key Metrics sections for forward P/E, EV/EBITDA and PEG context.

When does Aflac Inc. report earnings?

No confirmed earnings date is currently scheduled for AFL. The Earnings section lists recent reports and updates as dates are announced.

What sector does Aflac Inc. operate in?

Aflac Inc. operates in the Financial Services sector, within the Accident & Health Insurance industry. The Related Stocks section lists sector peers for comparison.

What does Aflac Inc. do?

Aflac Inc offers supplemental health insurance and life insurance in the United States and Japan.

About Aflac Inc. (AFL) Stock

Aflac Inc. (AFL) is a US-listed stock operating in the Financial Services sector, specifically the Accident & Health Insurance industry. As of the latest update, Aflac Inc. is trading at $119.97, up 1.63% on the day with a market capitalization of $60.1 billion. The financial health score for AFL is 28/100, which indicates poor financial strength based on profitability, leverage, liquidity, and growth metrics. This page provides real-time pre-market pricing, earnings calendar, financial health analysis, and valuation metrics for AFL stock.

AFL Stock Analysis & Key Metrics

On PreMarketPrice, you can track Aflac Inc. (AFL) across multiple dimensions:

Is AFL a Good Stock to Buy?

This page provides data-driven analysis to help you evaluate Aflac Inc. (AFL) as an investment. The financial health score of 28/100 suggests poor financial fundamentals. Valuation metrics show whether the stock is trading above or below its historical average.However, this is not financial advice — always do your own research before investing.

Data on this page is sourced from real-time market feeds, Polygon.io, and Finnhub.Aflac Inc. (AFL) trades on NYSE. Pre-market trading occurs 4:00 AM – 9:30 AM ET. Regular market hours are 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET.

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