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Stock Analysis

NRG Energy, Inc.NRG

Price:$103.75Market Closed+0.87%at last close

P/E 27.89×· 5Y range 2.17–206.74×· top 18% of history

Sector: Utilities · Industry: Electric Services

AnalystsStrong Buy21 analysts
EW Score 25/65 · #453Mkt Cap 21.81BP/E 27.9Div Yield 2.12%ROE 16.1%
Low 2.2×27.9×High 206.7×

P/E 27.9× sits at the 82nd percentile of its 5.086926762491444-year history.

Cash $0.16BNet debt $23.30BDebt $23.47B

Cash covers 1% of debt · Q2 2026.

Profilev42g31p36h27q47m23

PMP Verdict

Weak fundamentals, expensive

Risks

  • Valuation42
  • Financial Health27
Revenue +3.3% CAGRP/E 28× · 82nd pctl

Weak fundamentals at a demanding price.

Bull Case

  • ✓ROE 16.1% — efficient capital deployment

What's happening with NRG

What NRG Energy (NRG)'s Data Center Outlook Means For Shareholders — Yahoo, 13h agoLast big move: -5.6% on 2026-10-14

Profile

Valuation — 42/100 (Weak) P/E vs own history: 82th pct → 0/25 FCF yield: 1.6% → 5/25 P/S: 0.7x → 25/25 EV/EBIT: 22.4x → 12/25Valuation42Growth — 31/100 (Weak) Revenue CAGR: 3.3% → 6/25 Net income CAGR: -22.3% → 0/25 EPS CAGR 5Y: -18.2% → 0/25 Fwd implied growth: 179.5% → 25/25Growth31Profitability — 36/100 (Weak) ROIC: 5.7% → 5/25 ROE: 16.1% → 20/25 Net margin: 2.4% → 6/25 Operating margin: 6.1% → 5/25Profitability36Financial Health — 27/100 (Weak) Altman Z: 1.00 → 3/25 Current ratio: 0.97 → 6/25 Interest coverage: 5.7x → 18/25 Net cash / debt: D/A 58% → 0/25Health27Quality — 47/100 (Weak) Piotroski F: 5/9 → 15/25 Beneish M: -2.11 → 12/25 FCF conversion: 45% → 8/25 Margin stability: σ 8.6% → 12/25Quality47Moat — 23/100 (Weak) ROIC >12% years: 6/10 yrs → 13/25 Median gross margin: 9.7% → 0/25 FCF-positive years: 7/10 yrs → 10/25 Worst-year net margin: worst -20.3% → 0/25Moat23

moat, financial health, growth, profitability, valuation and earnings quality lag behind.

How is each axis scored?
  • Valuation42/100 · Weak
    • P/E vs own history (82th pct)0/25
    • FCF yield (1.6%)5/25
    • P/S (0.7x)25/25
    • EV/EBIT (22.4x)12/25
  • Growth31/100 · Weak
    • Revenue CAGR (3.3%)6/25
    • Net income CAGR (-22.3%)0/25
    • EPS CAGR 5Y (-18.2%)0/25
    • Fwd implied growth (179.5%)25/25
  • Profitability36/100 · Weak
    • ROIC (5.7%)5/25
    • ROE (16.1%)20/25
    • Net margin (2.4%)6/25
    • Operating margin (6.1%)5/25
  • Financial Health27/100 · Weak
    • Altman Z (1.00)3/25
    • Current ratio (0.97)6/25
    • Interest coverage (5.7x)18/25
    • Net cash / debt (D/A 58%)0/25
  • Quality47/100 · Weak
    • Piotroski F (5/9)15/25
    • Beneish M (-2.11)12/25
    • FCF conversion (45%)8/25
    • Margin stability (σ 8.6%)12/25
  • Moat23/100 · Weak
    • ROIC >12% years (6/10 yrs)13/25
    • Median gross margin (9.7%)0/25
    • FCF-positive years (7/10 yrs)10/25
    • Worst-year net margin (worst -20.3%)0/25

Risk Flags

  • ⚠Altman Z 1.0 — distress-zone balance sheet
  • ⚠2 loss-making years in recent history
  • ⚠P/E 27.9× at top 18% of 5-year history

About NRG Energy, Inc.

NRG Energy is one of the largest retail energy providers in the US, with 6 million customers. Show more

Vivint Smart Home, which NRG acquired in 2023, has 2 million home-services customers. NRG also is one of the largest US independent power producers, with 26 gigawatts of coal, gas, and oil power generation capacity in Texas and the Eastern US. NRG exited Chapter 11 bankruptcy as a stand-alone entity in December 2003.

Headquarters: HOUSTON, TX · Employees: 16,702 · Website ↗

Price History

Weekly Candlestick Chart — up to 5Y

Key Metrics

Financial snapshot · Tap any metric for its definition and grade

TTM Snapshot

trailing twelve months · YoY
Revenue
33.1B+13%
Op. Income
2B+58%
Net Income
782M+72%
EPS
3.72+66%
Operating CF
1.6B-32%
Free CF
348M-75%

Valuation

42D+
P/E (TTM)27.9xC

Grade C: ExpensivePrice / TTM EPS (own statements) — vs own 5Y history: 2.2x–206.7x · 82nd pct

P/FCF20.5xB

Grade B: FairPrice / Free Cash Flow per share (Finnhub). Inverse of FCF yield — negative when FCF is negative · Heavy investment cycle — CapEx = 78% of operating cash flow, significantly depressing reported FCF

FCF Yield1.6%C

Grade C: LowTTM (OCF − CapEx) / Market Cap — vs own 5Y history: -52.6%–35.5% · 39th pct · Heavy investment cycle — CapEx = 78% of operating cash flow, significantly depressing reported FCF

P/S (TTM)0.66xA

Grade A: CheapPrice / TTM Revenue (own statements) — vs own 5Y history: 0.2x–1.2x · 62nd pct

EV/EBIT22.4xC

Grade C: ExpensiveEnterprise value / TTM EBIT (D&A not in our data) — capital-structure neutral — vs own 5Y history: 2.8x–56.3x · 80th pct

EV/Sales1.3xA

Grade A: CheapEnterprise Value / TTM Revenue (Finnhub) — capital-structure neutral sales multiple

Forward P/E10.0xA

Grade A: CheapPrice / next-year EPS estimate — shows whether the TTM multiple is rich or just front-loading growth

P/B Ratio4.49xC

Grade C: ExpensivePrice to Book Value. Neg. equity = heavy buybacks

PEG Ratio1.59B

Grade B: FairFinnhub PEG — their P/E basis ÷ expected EPS growth. Suppressed when their P/E diverges >2× from our TTM P/E (different basis)

Dividend Yield2.12%A

Grade A: PaysTTM dividend yield (Finnhub) — annual dividends / price. None = no dividend; very high yield can signal distress

Payout Ratio51.7%A

Grade A: SafeDividends / Net Income (Finnhub) — share of earnings paid out; >90% or negative = unsustainable

P/E vs own 5Y historyAbove average · 82nd pct

Heavy investment: Heavy investment cycle — CapEx = 78% of operating cash flow, significantly depressing reported FCF

Profitability

36D
ROIC5.7%D

Grade D: LowNOPAT (EBIT less ~21% tax) / invested capital (equity + debt − cash). Flagship quality metric — durable >15% signals a moat

ROE16.1%C

Grade C: AverageReturn on Equity. Neg. equity = heavy buybacks

ROA2.5%D

Grade D: WeakReturn on Assets (Finnhub) — Net Income / Total Assets; how efficiently assets produce profit

Net Margin2.4%D

Grade D: LowNet Income / Revenue

Operating Margin6.1%D

Grade D: LowTTM EBIT / TTM Revenue

Gross Margin6.0%D

Grade D: LowGross Profit / Revenue

FCF Margin1.1%D

Grade D: LowFCF / Revenue · Heavy investment cycle — CapEx = 78% of operating cash flow, significantly depressing reported FCF

True FCF Margin0.6%D

Grade D: LowTTM (OCF − CapEx − SBC) / TTM Revenue — SBC treated as a real cost · Heavy investment cycle — CapEx = 78% of operating cash flow, significantly depressing reported FCF

Growth

31D
Revenue CAGR3.3%D

Grade D: LowCompound annual revenue growth (up to 5Y depending on data availability)

Net Income CAGR-22.3%D

Grade D: LowCompound annual net income growth (up to 5Y depending on data availability)

EPS CAGR (5Y)-18.2%D

Grade D: LowCompound annual EPS growth over up to 5Y of per-share earnings (own statements). Null when either endpoint EPS ≤ 0

Implied EPS Growth179.5%A

Grade A: HighAnalyst forward EPS (normalized basis) vs our GAAP TTM EPS — different bases, so extreme values usually mark cyclically depressed TTM earnings, not real growth

Dilution (5Y)-14.2%A

Grade A: BuybacksShare count change over 5Y

SBC / Net Income18.4%C

Grade C: MedStock-based comp/Net income. >30% = dilution risk

SBC / Revenue0.4%A

Grade A: LowTTM stock-based comp / TTM Revenue

Financial Health

27E
Altman Z-Score1.00D

Grade D: DistressBankruptcy risk. >3 Safe, <1.8 Distress

Current Ratio0.97xD

Grade D: LowCurrent Assets/Liabilities

Quick Ratio0.76xC

Grade C: Ok(Current Assets − Inventory) / Current Liabilities (Finnhub) — stricter liquidity test, excludes inventory

Interest Coverage5.7xC

Grade C: OkEBIT/Interest. >10 Strong

Debt Repayment67.0yD

Grade D: SlowYears to repay net debt via FCF · Heavy investment cycle — CapEx = 78% of operating cash flow, significantly depressing reported FCF

Net Debt/EBIT11.6xD

Grade D: HighLeverage. <2x Low, >4x High

Debt/Equity4.83xD

Grade D: HighDebt / Equity: <1 Conservative, >2 Risky. Not meaningful with non-positive equity; shown as unavailable rather than low debt.

Cash / Debt0.01xD

Grade D: ThinCash covers how much of total debt. >1 = could repay all debt from cash

Quality

47D+
Piotroski F-Score5/9C

Grade C: AverageFinancial strength 0–9. >7 Strong

Beneish M-Score-2.11C

Grade C: Gray zoneEarnings manipulation risk. < -2.22 Safe

FCF Conversion44.5%D

Grade D: PoorFCF / Net Income · Heavy investment cycle — CapEx = 78% of operating cash flow, significantly depressing reported FCF

Margin Stability8.6%C

Grade C: AverageEBIT margin std deviation. Lower = stable

Capex / Revenue3.6%A

Grade A: Asset-lightTTM CapEx / TTM Revenue — high % = capital-hungry business

Asset Turnover1.00xC

Grade C: AverageRevenue / Total Assets (Finnhub) — how efficiently the asset base generates sales

2/10 Loss Years

Insider Transactions

SEC Form 4 · 8 records
Open-market · 90dBuy —Sell $191K (1)Other filings 14Net open-market selling

P/S codes are the directional signal; grants, option exercises and tax withholding carry none. Form 4 doesn't flag 10b5-1 plans — scheduled sales may appear within open-market sells.

Recent insider transactions
Trade dateTransactionShares
Spencer Gerald Alfred
Filed
SellOpen market sale
-1580
Bentley Brad
Filed
Tax withholding
-3401
Bentley Brad
Filed
Tax withholding
-1570
Donohue Elisabeth B
Filed
Grant / award
+81
Cox Heather
Filed
Grant / award
+68
Show 3 more filings
Additional recent insider transactions
Trade dateTransactionShares
Carter Matthew Jr
Filed
Grant / award
+149
Carrillo Antonio
Filed
Grant / award
+65
Spencer Gerald Alfred
Filed
Grant / award
+14
More metrics — Moat, Per Share, Balance Sheet, Market

Moat

23E
ROIC >12% Years6/10 yrsC

Grade C: ModerateShare of completed fiscal years with ROIC > 12% — measures multi-year capital-return durability

Gross Margin (Med.)9.7%D

Grade D: WeakMedian annual gross margin across available fiscal years — pricing-power durability

FCF-Positive Years7/10 yrsD

Grade D: WeakShare of completed fiscal years with positive free cash flow

Net Margin Floor-20.3%D

Grade D: WeakWeakest annual net margin across completed fiscal years — recession/downcycle resilience

Per Share

EPS (TTM)$3.72

Own TTM net income / shares — same earnings basis as P/E

Cash / Share$0.77

Cash & short-term investments per share (Finnhub)

Book Value / Share$23.09

Shareholders' equity per share (Finnhub). Negative = accumulated losses / heavy buybacks

Balance Sheet

Total Debt$23.47B

Total debt obligations (short + long term)

Cash & Equiv.$162.00M

Cash and short-term investments

Net Debt$23.30B

Total Debt minus Cash. Negative = Net Cash position

Total Equity$4.86B

Shareholders' equity (book value)

Asset / Liability1.14xC

Grade C: AdequateTotal Assets / Total Liabilities

Market

Market Cap$21.81B

Current Market Capitalization

Beta1.22C

Grade C: VolatilePrice sensitivity vs the market (Finnhub) — 1.0 moves with market, >1.2 amplifies swings

How grades work: each metric is graded A–D against fixed thresholds (tap a row for the meaning). Card grades map the pillar score to A+–E — a card grade is that pillar's own score, not an average of the rows shown.

Financials as of Jun 2026 · Ratio snapshot Oct 17, 2026

Key Insights: NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG)

NRG is up 0.87% at the last close. Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates mixed fundamentals for NRG Energy, Inc.. Altman Z-Score of 1.00 is below the 1.81 distress threshold — an elevated financial-risk flag.

  • Takes ~67.0 years to repay net debt from free cash flow.
  • NRG Energy, Inc. posted a net loss in 2 of 10 available completed fiscal years (2016–2025).
  • The stock currently yields 2.1% in dividends.

See how NRG ranks on the Capex Tracker — top 50 capital spenders compared.

Recent Market Moves

See all NRG moves →
DateSessionPriceMoveZ-Score
Oct 14Regular101.20-5.58%-2.21
Oct 14After-hours100.00-6.70%-2.66
Oct 7Regular108.91+5.13%2.11
Oct 7After-hours108.75+4.97%2.05
Oct 6Pre-market100.15+3.46%2.23

Frequently Asked Questions about NRG

What is the current NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) stock price?

NRG is trading at $103.75 at the last market close, up 0.87% on the session. PreMarketPrice tracks NRG pre-market, intraday and after-hours prices.

Is NRG stock a buy right now?

PreMarketPrice's quantitative model rates NRG Energy, Inc.'s financial health at 27/100. This is a data-driven snapshot of fundamentals, not investment advice.

Is NRG stock overvalued?

NRG Energy, Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 27.9 and our valuation score rates it 42/100 (higher = cheaper vs. its own history). See the Valuation History and Key Metrics sections for forward P/E, EV/EBITDA and PEG context.

When does NRG Energy, Inc. report earnings?

No confirmed earnings date is currently scheduled for NRG. The Earnings section lists recent reports and updates as dates are announced.

What sector does NRG Energy, Inc. operate in?

NRG Energy, Inc. operates in the Utilities sector, within the Electric Services industry. The Related Stocks section lists sector peers for comparison.

What does NRG Energy, Inc. do?

NRG Energy is one of the largest retail energy providers in the US, with 6 million customers.

About NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) Stock

NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) is a US-listed stock operating in the Utilities sector, specifically the Electric Services industry. As of the latest update, NRG Energy, Inc. is trading at $103.75, up 0.87% on the day with a market capitalization of $21.8 billion. The financial health score for NRG is 27/100, which indicates poor financial strength based on profitability, leverage, liquidity, and growth metrics. This page provides real-time pre-market pricing, earnings calendar, financial health analysis, and valuation metrics for NRG stock.

NRG Stock Analysis & Key Metrics

On PreMarketPrice, you can track NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) across multiple dimensions:

Is NRG a Good Stock to Buy?

This page provides data-driven analysis to help you evaluate NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) as an investment. The financial health score of 27/100 suggests poor financial fundamentals. Valuation metrics show whether the stock is trading above or below its historical average.However, this is not financial advice — always do your own research before investing.

Data on this page is sourced from real-time market feeds, Polygon.io, and Finnhub.NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) trades on NYSE/NASDAQ. Pre-market trading occurs 4:00 AM – 9:30 AM ET. Regular market hours are 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET.

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