Stock Analysis
XPO, Inc.XPO
P/E 54.10×· 5Y range 4.00–408.12×· 71th percentile of history
Sector: Industrials · Industry: Transportation Services
AnalystsStrong Buy30 analystsP/E 54.1× sits at the 71st percentile of its 5.086926762491444-year history.
Cash covers 7% of debt · Q2 2026.
PMP Verdict
Mixed fundamentals, fairly valued
Strengths
- Quality90
Risks
- Growth20
- Financial Health45
Mixed picture — no clear quality or value edge.
Bull Case
- ✓ROE 20.6% — efficient capital deployment
What's happening with XPO
Profile
Strong earnings quality; growth, moat, valuation and financial health lag behind.
How is each axis scored?
- Valuation35/100 · Weak
- P/E vs own history (71th pct)5/25
- FCF yield (2.7%)5/25
- P/S (2.5x)20/25
- EV/EBIT (34.0x)5/25
- Growth20/100 · Weak
- Revenue CAGR (-10.7%)0/25
- Net income CAGR (-1.5%)0/25
- EPS CAGR 5Y (-2.6%)0/25
- Fwd implied growth (18.4%)20/25
- Profitability50/100 · Moderate
- ROIC (10.4%)12/25
- ROE (20.6%)20/25
- Net margin (4.7%)6/25
- Operating margin (8.8%)12/25
- Financial Health45/100 · Weak
- Altman Z (3.00)18/25
- Current ratio (1.01)12/25
- Interest coverage (2.4x)10/25
- Net cash / debt (D/A 45%)5/25
- Quality90/100 · Strong
- Piotroski F (6/9)15/25
- Beneish M (-2.82)25/25
- FCF conversion (146%)25/25
- Margin stability (σ 2.3%)25/25
- Moat30/100 · Weak
- ROIC >12% years (0/10 yrs)0/25
- Median gross margin (17.9%)0/25
- FCF-positive years (9/10 yrs)18/25
- Worst-year net margin (worst 0.5%)12/25
Risk Flags
- ⚠Interest coverage 2.4× — thin debt cushion
- ⚠Revenue shrinking 10.7%/yr
About XPO, Inc.
Following the spinoff of its contract logistics division (GXO) in 2021 and freight brokerage operations (RXO) in 2022, XPO is moving closer to becoming a pure-play asset-based less-than-truckload carrier. Show more
We estimate LTL shipping makes up 60% of total revenue, with XPO's European truckload and LTL operations making up 40%. However, XPO's LTL segment EBITDA mix is much higher than 60%. We believe XPO intends to divest its European trucking division once it finds the right buyer.
Headquarters: GREENWICH, CT · Employees: 38,000 · Website ↗
Price History
Weekly Candlestick Chart — up to 5Y
Key Metrics
Financial snapshot · Tap any metric for its definition and grade
TTM Snapshot
trailing twelve months · YoYValuation
35DP/E (TTM)54.0xD
Grade D: ExpensivePrice / TTM EPS (own statements) — vs own 5Y history: 4.0x–408.1x · 71st pct
P/FCF36.1xC
Grade C: ExpensivePrice / Free Cash Flow per share (Finnhub). Inverse of FCF yield — negative when FCF is negative
FCF Yield2.7%C
Grade C: LowTTM (OCF − CapEx) / Market Cap — vs own 5Y history: -6.9%–7.6% · 68th pct
P/S (TTM)2.55xB
Grade B: FairPrice / TTM Revenue (own statements) — vs own 5Y history: 0.3x–4.0x · 81st pct
EV/EBIT34.0xD
Grade D: ExpensiveEnterprise value / TTM EBIT (D&A not in our data) — capital-structure neutral — vs own 5Y history: 4.6x–44.3x · 84th pct
EV/Sales2.8xB
Grade B: FairEnterprise Value / TTM Revenue (Finnhub) — capital-structure neutral sales multiple
Forward P/E45.6xD
Grade D: ExpensivePrice / next-year EPS estimate — shows whether the TTM multiple is rich or just front-loading growth
P/B Ratio11.13xD
Grade D: Very expensivePrice to Book Value. Neg. equity = heavy buybacks
PEG Ratio—
Finnhub PEG — their P/E basis ÷ expected EPS growth. Suppressed when their P/E diverges >2× from our TTM P/E (different basis)
Dividend Yield—
TTM dividend yield (Finnhub) — annual dividends / price. None = no dividend; very high yield can signal distress
Payout Ratio—
Dividends / Net Income (Finnhub) — share of earnings paid out; >90% or negative = unsustainable
Profitability
50CROIC10.4%C
Grade C: AverageNOPAT (EBIT less ~21% tax) / invested capital (equity + debt − cash). Flagship quality metric — durable >15% signals a moat
ROE20.6%A
Grade A: StrongReturn on Equity. Neg. equity = heavy buybacks
ROA4.9%D
Grade D: WeakReturn on Assets (Finnhub) — Net Income / Total Assets; how efficiently assets produce profit
Net Margin4.7%D
Grade D: LowNet Income / Revenue
Operating Margin8.8%D
Grade D: LowTTM EBIT / TTM Revenue
Gross Margin19.0%D
Grade D: LowGross Profit / Revenue
FCF Margin6.9%D
Grade D: LowFCF / Revenue
True FCF Margin6.0%C
Grade C: AverageTTM (OCF − CapEx − SBC) / TTM Revenue — SBC treated as a real cost
Growth
20ERevenue CAGR-10.7%D
Grade D: LowCompound annual revenue growth (up to 5Y depending on data availability)
Net Income CAGR-1.5%D
Grade D: LowCompound annual net income growth (up to 5Y depending on data availability)
EPS CAGR (5Y)-2.6%D
Grade D: LowCompound annual EPS growth over up to 5Y of per-share earnings (own statements). Null when either endpoint EPS ≤ 0
Implied EPS Growth18.4%C
Grade C: MedAnalyst forward EPS (normalized basis) vs our GAAP TTM EPS — different bases, so extreme values usually mark cyclically depressed TTM earnings, not real growth
Dilution (5Y)+3.6%C
Grade C: DilutiveShare count change over 5Y
SBC / Net Income18.8%C
Grade C: MedStock-based comp/Net income. >30% = dilution risk
SBC / Revenue0.9%A
Grade A: LowTTM stock-based comp / TTM Revenue
Financial Health
45D+Altman Z-Score3.00C
Grade C: Gray zoneBankruptcy risk. >3 Safe, <1.8 Distress
Current Ratio1.01xC
Grade C: OkCurrent Assets/Liabilities
Quick Ratio1.01xA
Grade A: High(Current Assets − Inventory) / Current Liabilities (Finnhub) — stricter liquidity test, excludes inventory
Interest Coverage2.4xD
Grade D: RiskyEBIT/Interest. >10 Strong
Debt Repayment6.4yC
Grade C: AverageYears to repay net debt via FCF
Net Debt/EBIT5.0xD
Grade D: HighLeverage. <2x Low, >4x High
Debt/Equity2.06xD
Grade D: HighDebt / Equity: <1 Conservative, >2 Risky. Not meaningful with non-positive equity; shown as unavailable rather than low debt.
Cash / Debt0.07xD
Grade D: ThinCash covers how much of total debt. >1 = could repay all debt from cash
Quality
90A+Piotroski F-Score6/9C
Grade C: AverageFinancial strength 0–9. >7 Strong
Beneish M-Score-2.82A
Grade A: SafeEarnings manipulation risk. < -2.22 Safe
FCF Conversion145.5%A
Grade A: StrongFCF / Net Income
Margin Stability2.3%A
Grade A: StableEBIT margin std deviation. Lower = stable
Capex / Revenue5.8%C
Grade C: AverageTTM CapEx / TTM Revenue — high % = capital-hungry business
Asset Turnover1.04xA
Grade A: HighRevenue / Total Assets (Finnhub) — how efficiently the asset base generates sales
Insider Transactions
SEC Form 4 · 8 recordsP/S codes are the directional signal; grants, option exercises and tax withholding carry none. Form 4 doesn't flag 10b5-1 plans — scheduled sales may appear within open-market sells.
| Trade date | Insider | Transaction | Shares | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bates David J. Filed | Bates David J. | SellOpen market sale | -715 | |
Bates David J. Filed | Bates David J. | SellOpen market sale | -900 | |
Bates David J. Filed | Bates David J. | SellOpen market sale | -300 | |
Bates David J. Filed | Bates David J. | SellOpen market sale | -700 | |
Wismans Kyle Filed | Wismans Kyle | SellOpen market sale | -750 |
Show 3 more filingsShow fewer filings
| Trade date | Insider | Transaction | Shares | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bates David J. Filed | Bates David J. | SellOpen market sale | -515 | |
Bates David J. Filed | Bates David J. | SellOpen market sale | -1500 | |
Bates David J. Filed | Bates David J. | SellOpen market sale | -400 |
More metrics — Moat, Per Share, Balance Sheet, MarketHide additional metrics
Moat
30DROIC >12% Years0/10 yrsD
Grade D: WeakShare of completed fiscal years with ROIC > 12% — measures multi-year capital-return durability
Gross Margin (Med.)17.9%D
Grade D: WeakMedian annual gross margin across available fiscal years — pricing-power durability
FCF-Positive Years9/10 yrsA
Grade A: DurableShare of completed fiscal years with positive free cash flow
Net Margin Floor0.5%C
Grade C: ModerateWeakest annual net margin across completed fiscal years — recession/downcycle resilience
Per Share
EPS (TTM)$3.45
Own TTM net income / shares — same earnings basis as P/E
Cash / Share$2.55
Cash & short-term investments per share (Finnhub)
Book Value / Share$16.77
Shareholders' equity per share (Finnhub). Negative = accumulated losses / heavy buybacks
Balance Sheet
Total Debt$4.04B
Total debt obligations (short + long term)
Cash & Equiv.$298.00M
Cash and short-term investments
Net Debt$3.75B
Total Debt minus Cash. Negative = Net Cash position
Total Equity$1.96B
Shareholders' equity (book value)
Asset / Liability1.31xC
Grade C: AdequateTotal Assets / Total Liabilities
Market
Market Cap$21.84B
Current Market Capitalization
Beta1.93D
Grade D: High volatilityPrice sensitivity vs the market (Finnhub) — 1.0 moves with market, >1.2 amplifies swings
How grades work: each metric is graded A–D against fixed thresholds (tap a row for the meaning). Card grades map the pillar score to A+–E — a card grade is that pillar's own score, not an average of the rows shown.
Financials as of Jun 2026 · Ratio snapshot Oct 17, 2026
Key Insights: XPO, Inc. (XPO)
XPO is down 1.14% at the last close. Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates mixed fundamentals for XPO, Inc.. Altman Z-Score of 3.00 sits comfortably in the safe zone (≥ 2.99), indicating low bankruptcy risk. Beneish M-Score of -2.82 suggests a low likelihood of earnings manipulation.
- Revenue has been contracting (CAGR ≈ -11%), which weighs on the growth outlook.
- Takes ~6.4 years to repay net debt from free cash flow.
- Return on equity of 20.6% is well above the market average.
See how XPO ranks on the Capex Tracker — top 50 capital spenders compared.
Recent Market Moves
See all XPO moves →| Date | Session | Price | Move | Z-Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 | Regular | 186.22 | +3.61% | 2.03 |
Frequently Asked Questions about XPO
What is the current XPO, Inc. (XPO) stock price?
XPO is trading at $186.67 at the last market close, down 1.14% on the session. PreMarketPrice tracks XPO pre-market, intraday and after-hours prices.
Is XPO stock a buy right now?
PreMarketPrice's quantitative model rates XPO, Inc.'s financial health at 45/100. This is a data-driven snapshot of fundamentals, not investment advice.
Is XPO stock overvalued?
XPO, Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 54.0 and our valuation score rates it 35/100 (higher = cheaper vs. its own history). See the Valuation History and Key Metrics sections for forward P/E, EV/EBITDA and PEG context.
When does XPO, Inc. report earnings?
No confirmed earnings date is currently scheduled for XPO. The Earnings section lists recent reports and updates as dates are announced.
What sector does XPO, Inc. operate in?
XPO, Inc. operates in the Industrials sector, within the Transportation Services industry. The Related Stocks section lists sector peers for comparison.
What does XPO, Inc. do?
Following the spinoff of its contract logistics division (GXO) in 2021 and freight brokerage operations (RXO) in 2022, XPO is moving closer to becoming a pure-play asset-based less-than-truckload carrier.
About XPO, Inc. (XPO) Stock
XPO, Inc. (XPO) is a US-listed stock operating in the Industrials sector, specifically the Transportation Services industry. As of the latest update, XPO, Inc. is trading at $186.67, down 1.14% on the day with a market capitalization of $21.8 billion. The financial health score for XPO is 45/100, which indicates moderate financial strength based on profitability, leverage, liquidity, and growth metrics. This page provides real-time pre-market pricing, earnings calendar, financial health analysis, and valuation metrics for XPO stock.
XPO Stock Analysis & Key Metrics
On PreMarketPrice, you can track XPO, Inc. (XPO) across multiple dimensions:
- Pre-market price & movement: Real-time XPO stock price with percentage change, updated continuously during pre-market and regular trading hours.
- Valuation & P/E history: Historical P/E, P/S, and P/B ratios for XPO with trend analysis and normalized valuation multiples.
- Financial statements: Revenue, net income, assets, liabilities, and equity for XPO, Inc. across multiple reporting periods.
- Financial health score: A composite score of 45/100 based on Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, profitability, and leverage metrics for XPO.
- Sector peers: Compare XPO against 6 other industrials stocks on key financial metrics.
Is XPO a Good Stock to Buy?
This page provides data-driven analysis to help you evaluate XPO, Inc. (XPO) as an investment. The financial health score of 45/100 suggests moderate financial fundamentals. Valuation metrics show whether the stock is trading above or below its historical average.However, this is not financial advice — always do your own research before investing.
Data on this page is sourced from real-time market feeds, Polygon.io, and Finnhub.XPO, Inc. (XPO) trades on NYSE/NASDAQ. Pre-market trading occurs 4:00 AM – 9:30 AM ET. Regular market hours are 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET.