Stock Analysis
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.CMG
P/E 26.65×· 5Y range 25.27–94.64×· bottom 0% of history
Sector: Consumer Cyclical · Industry: Retail-Eating Places
AnalystsStrong Buy41 analystsP/E 26.6× sits at the 0th percentile of its 5.0978781656399725-year history.
Cash covers 21% of debt · FY 2025.
PMP Verdict
Strong business, attractive price
Strengths
- Quality90
- Profitability77
High-quality business at an attractive price.
Market context
-2.3% today· Z 0.8σ
Bull Case
- ✓Altman Z 6.1 — safe-zone balance sheet
- ✓ROE 50.1% — efficient capital deployment
- ✓Revenue CAGR 12.1% — durable top-line growth
- ✓Interest coverage 409.1× — debt well covered
- ✓P/E 26.6× at bottom 0% of 5-year history
What's happening with CMG
Profile
Strong earnings quality, profitability and growth.
How is each axis scored?
- Valuation69/100 · Moderate
- P/E vs own history (0th pct)25/25
- FCF yield (4.1%)12/25
- P/S (3.0x)20/25
- EV/EBIT (23.0x)12/25
- Growth75/100 · Strong
- Revenue CAGR (12.1%)20/25
- Net income CAGR (23.8%)25/25
- EPS CAGR 5Y (25.7%)25/25
- Fwd implied growth (2.5%)5/25
- Profitability77/100 · Strong
- ROIC (21.0%)20/25
- ROE (50.1%)25/25
- Net margin (11.4%)20/25
- Operating margin (14.7%)12/25
- Financial Health67/100 · Moderate
- Altman Z (6.08)25/25
- Current ratio (1.23)12/25
- Interest coverage (409.1x)25/25
- Net cash / debt (D/A 45%)5/25
- Quality90/100 · Strong
- Piotroski F (6/9)15/25
- Beneish M (-2.96)25/25
- FCF conversion (111%)25/25
- Margin stability (σ 4.6%)25/25
- Moat62/100 · Moderate
- ROIC >12% years (9/10 yrs)25/25
- Median gross margin (12.1%)0/25
- FCF-positive years (10/10 yrs)25/25
- Worst-year net margin (worst 3.6%)12/25
About Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
Chipotle is a leading fast-casual, Mexican-inspired restaurant chain, generating $11. Show more
9 billion in sales across 3,983 company-operated US locations, 104 international units primarily in Canada and Europe, and 14 licensed stores largely operated in the Middle East at the end of 2025. The firm's revenue is primarily driven by food and beverage sales at its company-owned restaurants, supplemented by delivery fees generated through its first-party digital channels. Chipotle emphasizes ingredients with no artificial flavors and utilizes an efficient, assembly line service model to serve mainly customizable burritos, bowls, salads, quesadillas, and tacos.
Headquarters: NEWPORT BEACH, CA · Employees: 130,301 · Website ↗
Price History
Weekly Candlestick Chart — up to 5Y
Key Metrics
Financial snapshot · Tap any metric for its definition and grade
TTM Snapshot
trailing twelve months · YoYValuation
69BP/E (TTM)26.7xC
Grade C: ExpensivePrice / TTM EPS (own statements) — vs own 5Y history: 25.3x–94.6x · lowest in history
P/FCF24.8xB
Grade B: FairPrice / Free Cash Flow per share (Finnhub). Inverse of FCF yield — negative when FCF is negative
FCF Yield4.1%C
Grade C: LowTTM (OCF − CapEx) / Market Cap — vs own 5Y history: 0.9%–4.1% · highest in history
P/S (TTM)3.05xB
Grade B: FairPrice / TTM Revenue (own statements) — vs own 5Y history: 3.0x–9.3x · lowest in history
EV/EBIT23.0xC
Grade C: ExpensiveEnterprise value / TTM EBIT (D&A not in our data) — capital-structure neutral — vs own 5Y history: 22.2x–29.0x · 5th pct
EV/Sales3.1xB
Grade B: FairEnterprise Value / TTM Revenue (Finnhub) — capital-structure neutral sales multiple
Forward P/E26.0xC
Grade C: ExpensivePrice / next-year EPS estimate — shows whether the TTM multiple is rich or just front-loading growth
P/B Ratio13.37xD
Grade D: Very expensivePrice to Book Value. Neg. equity = heavy buybacks
PEG Ratio—
Finnhub PEG — their P/E basis ÷ expected EPS growth. Suppressed when their P/E diverges >2× from our TTM P/E (different basis)
Dividend Yield—
TTM dividend yield (Finnhub) — annual dividends / price. None = no dividend; very high yield can signal distress
Payout Ratio—
Dividends / Net Income (Finnhub) — share of earnings paid out; >90% or negative = unsustainable
Profitability
77B+ROIC21.0%A
Grade A: MoatNOPAT (EBIT less ~21% tax) / invested capital (equity + debt − cash). Flagship quality metric — durable >15% signals a moat
ROE50.1%A
Grade A: StrongReturn on Equity. Neg. equity = heavy buybacks
ROA15.8%A
Grade A: StrongReturn on Assets (Finnhub) — Net Income / Total Assets; how efficiently assets produce profit
Net Margin11.4%A
Grade A: HighNet Income / Revenue
Operating Margin14.7%C
Grade C: AverageTTM EBIT / TTM Revenue
Gross Margin14.7%D
Grade D: LowGross Profit / Revenue
FCF Margin12.6%C
Grade C: AverageFCF / Revenue
True FCF Margin11.8%C
Grade C: AverageTTM (OCF − CapEx − SBC) / TTM Revenue — SBC treated as a real cost
Growth
75B+Revenue CAGR12.1%C
Grade C: OkCompound annual revenue growth (up to 5Y depending on data availability)
Net Income CAGR23.8%A
Grade A: HighCompound annual net income growth (up to 5Y depending on data availability)
EPS CAGR (5Y)25.7%A
Grade A: HighCompound annual EPS growth over up to 5Y of per-share earnings (own statements). Null when either endpoint EPS ≤ 0
Implied EPS Growth2.5%B
Grade B: LowAnalyst forward EPS (normalized basis) vs our GAAP TTM EPS — different bases, so extreme values usually mark cyclically depressed TTM earnings, not real growth
Dilution (5Y)-11.3%A
Grade A: BuybacksShare count change over 5Y
SBC / Net Income7.0%A
Grade A: LowStock-based comp/Net income. >30% = dilution risk
SBC / Revenue0.8%A
Grade A: LowTTM stock-based comp / TTM Revenue
Financial Health
67BAltman Z-Score6.08A
Grade A: SafeBankruptcy risk. >3 Safe, <1.8 Distress
Current Ratio1.23xC
Grade C: OkCurrent Assets/Liabilities
Quick Ratio0.59xC
Grade C: Ok(Current Assets − Inventory) / Current Liabilities (Finnhub) — stricter liquidity test, excludes inventory
Interest Coverage409.1xA
Grade A: StrongEBIT/Interest. >10 Strong
Debt Repayment2.6yA
Grade A: FastYears to repay net debt via FCF
Net Debt/EBIT2.2xC
Grade C: MedLeverage. <2x Low, >4x High
Debt/Equity1.79xC
Grade C: MedDebt / Equity: <1 Conservative, >2 Risky. Not meaningful with non-positive equity; shown as unavailable rather than low debt.
Cash / Debt0.21xD
Grade D: ThinCash covers how much of total debt. >1 = could repay all debt from cash
Quality
90A+Piotroski F-Score6/9C
Grade C: AverageFinancial strength 0–9. >7 Strong
Beneish M-Score-2.96A
Grade A: SafeEarnings manipulation risk. < -2.22 Safe
FCF Conversion110.5%A
Grade A: StrongFCF / Net Income
Margin Stability4.6%A
Grade A: StableEBIT margin std deviation. Lower = stable
Capex / Revenue6.1%C
Grade C: AverageTTM CapEx / TTM Revenue — high % = capital-hungry business
Asset Turnover1.38xA
Grade A: HighRevenue / Total Assets (Finnhub) — how efficiently the asset base generates sales
Insider Transactions
SEC Form 4 · 8 recordsP/S codes are the directional signal; grants, option exercises and tax withholding carry none. Form 4 doesn't flag 10b5-1 plans — scheduled sales may appear within open-market sells.
| Trade date | Insider | Transaction | Shares | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Rymer Adam T Filed | Rymer Adam T | Tax withholding | -3253 | |
Sami Sabir Filed | Sami Sabir | Grant / award | +4.7K | |
Rymer Adam T Filed | Rymer Adam T | Tax withholding | -9276 | |
Eskenazi Ilene Filed | Eskenazi Ilene | Tax withholding | -19701 | |
Garner Curtis E Filed | Garner Curtis E | Tax withholding | -27582 |
Show 3 more filingsShow fewer filings
| Trade date | Insider | Transaction | Shares | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Boatwright Scott Filed | Boatwright Scott | Tax withholding | -31522 | |
Schalow Laurie Filed | Schalow Laurie | Tax withholding | -20075 | |
Bush Matthew R Filed | Bush Matthew R | SellOpen market sale | -2675 |
More metrics — Moat, Per Share, Balance Sheet, MarketHide additional metrics
Moat
62BROIC >12% Years9/10 yrsA
Grade A: DurableShare of completed fiscal years with ROIC > 12% — measures multi-year capital-return durability
Gross Margin (Med.)12.1%D
Grade D: WeakMedian annual gross margin across available fiscal years — pricing-power durability
FCF-Positive Years10/10 yrsA
Grade A: DurableShare of completed fiscal years with positive free cash flow
Net Margin Floor3.6%C
Grade C: ModerateWeakest annual net margin across completed fiscal years — recession/downcycle resilience
Per Share
EPS (TTM)$1.12
Own TTM net income / shares — same earnings basis as P/E
Cash / Share$0.53
Cash & short-term investments per share (Finnhub)
Book Value / Share$1.74
Shareholders' equity per share (Finnhub). Negative = accumulated losses / heavy buybacks
Balance Sheet
Total Debt$5.08B
Total debt obligations (short + long term)
Cash & Equiv.$1.05B
Cash and short-term investments
Net Debt$4.03B
Total Debt minus Cash. Negative = Net Cash position
Total Equity$2.83B
Shareholders' equity (book value)
Asset / Liability1.46xC
Grade C: AdequateTotal Assets / Total Liabilities
Market
Market Cap$37.84B
Current Market Capitalization
Beta0.99B
Grade B: MarketPrice sensitivity vs the market (Finnhub) — 1.0 moves with market, >1.2 amplifies swings
How grades work: each metric is graded A–D against fixed thresholds (tap a row for the meaning). Card grades map the pillar score to A+–E — a card grade is that pillar's own score, not an average of the rows shown.
Financials as of Jun 2026 · Ratio snapshot Oct 17, 2026
Key Insights: Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG)
CMG is down 2.26% at the last close. Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates mixed fundamentals for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.. Altman Z-Score of 6.08 sits comfortably in the safe zone (≥ 2.99), indicating low bankruptcy risk.
- Beneish M-Score of -2.96 suggests a low likelihood of earnings manipulation.
- Takes ~2.6 years to repay net debt from free cash flow.
- Return on equity of 50.1% is well above the market average.
See how CMG ranks on the Capex Tracker — top 50 capital spenders compared.
Recent Market Moves
See all CMG moves →| Date | Session | Price | Move | Z-Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | Regular | 32.97 | +7.15% | 3.83 |
| Oct 8 | After-hours | 33.00 | +7.25% | 3.87 |
| Oct 5 | Regular | 30.91 | -4.50% | -2.10 |
| Oct 5 | After-hours | 30.90 | -4.51% | -2.11 |
Frequently Asked Questions about CMG
What is the current Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) stock price?
CMG is trading at $29.89 at the last market close, down 2.26% on the session. PreMarketPrice tracks CMG pre-market, intraday and after-hours prices.
Is CMG stock a buy right now?
PreMarketPrice's quantitative model rates Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.'s financial health at 67/100. This is a data-driven snapshot of fundamentals, not investment advice.
Is CMG stock overvalued?
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 26.7 and our valuation score rates it 69/100 (higher = cheaper vs. its own history). See the Valuation History and Key Metrics sections for forward P/E, EV/EBITDA and PEG context.
When does Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. report earnings?
No confirmed earnings date is currently scheduled for CMG. The Earnings section lists recent reports and updates as dates are announced.
What sector does Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. operate in?
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, within the Retail-Eating Places industry. The Related Stocks section lists sector peers for comparison.
What does Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. do?
Chipotle is a leading fast-casual, Mexican-inspired restaurant chain, generating $11.
About Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) Stock
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) is a US-listed stock operating in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically the Retail-Eating Places industry. As of the latest update, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is trading at $29.89, down 2.26% on the day with a market capitalization of $37.8 billion. The financial health score for CMG is 67/100, which indicates good financial strength based on profitability, leverage, liquidity, and growth metrics. This page provides real-time pre-market pricing, earnings calendar, financial health analysis, and valuation metrics for CMG stock.
CMG Stock Analysis & Key Metrics
On PreMarketPrice, you can track Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) across multiple dimensions:
- Pre-market price & movement: Real-time CMG stock price with percentage change, updated continuously during pre-market and regular trading hours.
- Valuation & P/E history: Historical P/E, P/S, and P/B ratios for CMG with trend analysis and normalized valuation multiples.
- Financial statements: Revenue, net income, assets, liabilities, and equity for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. across multiple reporting periods.
- Financial health score: A composite score of 67/100 based on Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, profitability, and leverage metrics for CMG.
- Sector peers: Compare CMG against 6 other consumer cyclical stocks on key financial metrics.
Is CMG a Good Stock to Buy?
This page provides data-driven analysis to help you evaluate Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) as an investment. The financial health score of 67/100 suggests good financial fundamentals. Valuation metrics show whether the stock is trading above or below its historical average.However, this is not financial advice — always do your own research before investing.
Data on this page is sourced from real-time market feeds, Polygon.io, and Finnhub.Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) trades on NYSE/NASDAQ. Pre-market trading occurs 4:00 AM – 9:30 AM ET. Regular market hours are 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET.