Stock Analysis
Smurfit Westrock plcSW
P/E 43.44×· 2Y range 23.15–113.28×· 37th percentile of history
Sector: Consumer Cyclical · Industry: Packaging & Containers
AnalystsStrong Buy27 analystsP/E 43.4× sits at the 37th percentile of its 2.272416153319644-year history.
Cash covers 6% of debt · FY 2025.
PMP Verdict
Mixed fundamentals, fairly valued
Strengths
- Quality97
Risks
- Profitability21
- Financial Health37
Mixed picture — no clear quality or value edge.
Bull Case
- ✓Piotroski F-Score 7/9 — high earnings quality
- ✓Revenue CAGR 27.1% — durable top-line growth
Profile
Strong earnings quality; profitability, financial health and moat lag behind.
How is each axis scored?
- Valuation69/100 · Moderate
- P/E vs own history (37th pct)20/25
- FCF yield (4.7%)12/25
- P/S (0.7x)25/25
- EV/EBIT (23.3x)12/25
- Growth50/100 · Moderate
- Revenue CAGR (27.1%)25/25
- Net income CAGR (-3.4%)0/25
- EPS CAGR 5Y (-19.2%)0/25
- Fwd implied growth (184.9%)25/25
- Profitability21/100 · Weak
- ROIC (3.7%)5/25
- ROE (2.7%)5/25
- Net margin (1.6%)6/25
- Operating margin (4.7%)5/25
- Financial Health37/100 · Weak
- Altman Z (1.47)3/25
- Current ratio (1.48)12/25
- Interest coverage (2.3x)10/25
- Net cash / debt (D/A 29%)12/25
- Quality97/100 · Strong
- Piotroski F (7/9)22/25
- Beneish M (-2.57)25/25
- FCF conversion (204%)25/25
- Margin stability (σ 3.9%)25/25
- Moat49/100 · Weak
- ROIC >12% years (2/5 yrs)6/25
- Median gross margin (22.4%)6/25
- FCF-positive years (5/5 yrs)25/25
- Worst-year net margin (worst 1.5%)12/25
Risk Flags
- ⚠Altman Z 1.5 — distress-zone balance sheet
- ⚠Interest coverage 2.3× — thin debt cushion
About Smurfit Westrock plc
Smurfit WestRock PLC manufactures corrugated packaging and consumer packaging, such as folding cartons and paperboard. Show more
operates a vertically integrated system supplying wood and recovered fiber to produce various grades of board, which are then converted into packaging products. Its main packaging categories include corrugated containers and consumer packaging, with additional products such as solidboard, kraft paper, graphic board, paper sacks, and bag-in-box packaging. The company's geographical segments include North America (including the U.S., Canada and Mexico), Europe, the Middle East and Africa and Asia-Pacific, and Latin America. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from product sales in the North American region.
Headquarters: DUBLIN 4 · Employees: 97,000 · Website ↗
Price History
Weekly Candlestick Chart — up to 5Y
Key Metrics
Financial snapshot · Tap any metric for its definition and grade
TTM Snapshot
trailing twelve months · YoYValuation
69BP/E (TTM)43.3xD
Grade D: ExpensivePrice / TTM EPS (own statements) — vs own 2Y history: 23.1x–113.3x · 37th pct
P/FCF15.0xB
Grade B: FairPrice / Free Cash Flow per share (Finnhub). Inverse of FCF yield — negative when FCF is negative · Elevated investment — CapEx = 69% of operating cash flow, weighing on reported FCF
FCF Yield4.7%C
Grade C: LowTTM (OCF − CapEx) / Market Cap — vs own 2Y history: -1.3%–5.3% · 91st pct · Elevated investment — CapEx = 69% of operating cash flow, weighing on reported FCF
P/S (TTM)0.69xA
Grade A: CheapPrice / TTM Revenue (own statements) — vs own 2Y history: 0.6x–1.4x · 16th pct
EV/EBIT23.3xC
Grade C: ExpensiveEnterprise value / TTM EBIT (D&A not in our data) — capital-structure neutral — vs own 2Y history: 17.7x–53.7x · 55th pct
EV/Sales1.1xA
Grade A: CheapEnterprise Value / TTM Revenue (Finnhub) — capital-structure neutral sales multiple
Forward P/E15.2xB
Grade B: FairPrice / next-year EPS estimate — shows whether the TTM multiple is rich or just front-loading growth
P/B Ratio1.18xA
Grade A: FairPrice to Book Value. Neg. equity = heavy buybacks
PEG Ratio0.95A
Grade A: CheapFinnhub PEG — their P/E basis ÷ expected EPS growth. Suppressed when their P/E diverges >2× from our TTM P/E (different basis)
Dividend Yield4.28%A
Grade A: PaysTTM dividend yield (Finnhub) — annual dividends / price. None = no dividend; very high yield can signal distress
Payout Ratio185.9%D
Grade D: UnsustainableDividends / Net Income (Finnhub) — share of earnings paid out; >90% or negative = unsustainable
Elevated investment: Elevated investment — CapEx = 69% of operating cash flow, weighing on reported FCF
Profitability
21EROIC3.7%D
Grade D: LowNOPAT (EBIT less ~21% tax) / invested capital (equity + debt − cash). Flagship quality metric — durable >15% signals a moat
ROE2.7%D
Grade D: WeakReturn on Equity. Neg. equity = heavy buybacks
ROA1.1%D
Grade D: WeakReturn on Assets (Finnhub) — Net Income / Total Assets; how efficiently assets produce profit
Net Margin1.6%D
Grade D: LowNet Income / Revenue
Operating Margin4.7%D
Grade D: LowTTM EBIT / TTM Revenue
Gross Margin17.9%D
Grade D: LowGross Profit / Revenue
FCF Margin3.2%D
Grade D: LowFCF / Revenue · Elevated investment — CapEx = 69% of operating cash flow, weighing on reported FCF
True FCF Margin2.9%D
Grade D: LowTTM (OCF − CapEx − SBC) / TTM Revenue — SBC treated as a real cost · Elevated investment — CapEx = 69% of operating cash flow, weighing on reported FCF
Growth
50CRevenue CAGR27.1%A
Grade A: HighCompound annual revenue growth (up to 5Y depending on data availability)
Net Income CAGR-3.4%D
Grade D: LowCompound annual net income growth (up to 5Y depending on data availability)
EPS CAGR (5Y)-19.2%D
Grade D: LowCompound annual EPS growth over up to 5Y of per-share earnings (own statements). Null when either endpoint EPS ≤ 0
Implied EPS Growth184.9%A
Grade A: HighAnalyst forward EPS (normalized basis) vs our GAAP TTM EPS — different bases, so extreme values usually mark cyclically depressed TTM earnings, not real growth
Dilution (5Y)—
Share count change over 5Y
SBC / Net Income23.1%D
Grade D: HighStock-based comp/Net income. >30% = dilution risk
SBC / Revenue0.4%A
Grade A: LowTTM stock-based comp / TTM Revenue
Financial Health
37DAltman Z-Score1.47D
Grade D: DistressBankruptcy risk. >3 Safe, <1.8 Distress
Current Ratio1.48xC
Grade C: OkCurrent Assets/Liabilities
Quick Ratio0.96xC
Grade C: Ok(Current Assets − Inventory) / Current Liabilities (Finnhub) — stricter liquidity test, excludes inventory
Interest Coverage2.3xD
Grade D: RiskyEBIT/Interest. >10 Strong
Debt Repayment12.7yD
Grade D: SlowYears to repay net debt via FCF · Elevated investment — CapEx = 69% of operating cash flow, weighing on reported FCF
Net Debt/EBIT8.7xD
Grade D: HighLeverage. <2x Low, >4x High
Debt/Equity0.75xA
Grade A: LowDebt / Equity: <1 Conservative, >2 Risky. Not meaningful with non-positive equity; shown as unavailable rather than low debt.
Cash / Debt0.06xD
Grade D: ThinCash covers how much of total debt. >1 = could repay all debt from cash
Quality
97A+Piotroski F-Score7/9A
Grade A: StrongFinancial strength 0–9. >7 Strong
Beneish M-Score-2.57A
Grade A: SafeEarnings manipulation risk. < -2.22 Safe
FCF Conversion204.2%A
Grade A: StrongFCF / Net Income · Elevated investment — CapEx = 69% of operating cash flow, weighing on reported FCF
Margin Stability3.9%A
Grade A: StableEBIT margin std deviation. Lower = stable
Capex / Revenue7.3%C
Grade C: AverageTTM CapEx / TTM Revenue — high % = capital-hungry business
Asset Turnover0.69xC
Grade C: AverageRevenue / Total Assets (Finnhub) — how efficiently the asset base generates sales
Insider Transactions
SEC Form 4 · 8 recordsP/S codes are the directional signal; grants, option exercises and tax withholding carry none. Form 4 doesn't flag 10b5-1 plans — scheduled sales may appear within open-market sells.
| Trade date | Insider | Transaction | Shares | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Page Irene Filed | Page Irene | Grant / award | +152 | |
Page Irene Filed | Page Irene | Grant / award | +23 | |
Mayer Saverio Filed | Mayer Saverio | Grant / award | +403 | |
Mayer Saverio Filed | Mayer Saverio | Grant / award | +119 | |
Henao Alvaro Filed | Henao Alvaro | Grant / award | +208 |
Show 3 more filingsShow fewer filings
| Trade date | Insider | Transaction | Shares | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Henao Alvaro Filed | Henao Alvaro | Grant / award | +35 | |
Sellier Laurent Filed | Sellier Laurent | Grant / award | +335 | |
Sellier Laurent Filed | Sellier Laurent | Grant / award | +140 |
More metrics — Moat, Per Share, Balance Sheet, MarketHide additional metrics
Moat
49D+ROIC >12% Years2/5 yrsD
Grade D: WeakShare of completed fiscal years with ROIC > 12% — measures multi-year capital-return durability
Gross Margin (Med.)22.4%D
Grade D: WeakMedian annual gross margin across available fiscal years — pricing-power durability
FCF-Positive Years5/5 yrsA
Grade A: DurableShare of completed fiscal years with positive free cash flow
Net Margin Floor1.5%C
Grade C: ModerateWeakest annual net margin across completed fiscal years — recession/downcycle resilience
Per Share
EPS (TTM)$0.95
Own TTM net income / shares — same earnings basis as P/E
Cash / Share$1.29
Cash & short-term investments per share (Finnhub)
Book Value / Share$34.39
Shareholders' equity per share (Finnhub). Negative = accumulated losses / heavy buybacks
Balance Sheet
Total Debt$13.77B
Total debt obligations (short + long term)
Cash & Equiv.$892.00M
Cash and short-term investments
Net Debt$12.88B
Total Debt minus Cash. Negative = Net Cash position
Total Equity$18.33B
Shareholders' equity (book value)
Asset / Liability1.68xC
Grade C: AdequateTotal Assets / Total Liabilities
Market
Market Cap$21.54B
Current Market Capitalization
Beta0.96B
Grade B: MarketPrice sensitivity vs the market (Finnhub) — 1.0 moves with market, >1.2 amplifies swings
How grades work: each metric is graded A–D against fixed thresholds (tap a row for the meaning). Card grades map the pillar score to A+–E — a card grade is that pillar's own score, not an average of the rows shown.
Financials as of Jun 2026 · Ratio snapshot Oct 17, 2026
Key Insights: Smurfit Westrock plc (SW)
Smurfit Westrock plc meets 7 of 9 Piotroski F-Score criteria, placing its fundamental strength in the top tier of US-listed stocks. Altman Z-Score of 1.47 is below the 1.81 distress threshold — an elevated financial-risk flag. Beneish M-Score of -2.57 suggests a low likelihood of earnings manipulation.
- Revenue has compounded at roughly 27% annually — a strong growth profile.
- Takes ~12.7 years to repay net debt from free cash flow.
- The stock currently yields 4.3% in dividends.
See how SW ranks on the Capex Tracker — top 50 capital spenders compared.
No significant market moves for SW in the last 30 days.
See SW move history →Frequently Asked Questions about SW
What is the current Smurfit Westrock plc (SW) stock price?
SW is trading at $41.16 at the last market close, down 0.19% on the session. PreMarketPrice tracks SW pre-market, intraday and after-hours prices.
Is SW stock a buy right now?
PreMarketPrice's quantitative model rates Smurfit Westrock plc's financial health at 37/100. This is a data-driven snapshot of fundamentals, not investment advice.
Is SW stock overvalued?
Smurfit Westrock plc trades at a trailing P/E of 43.3 and our valuation score rates it 69/100 (higher = cheaper vs. its own history). See the Valuation History and Key Metrics sections for forward P/E, EV/EBITDA and PEG context.
When does Smurfit Westrock plc report earnings?
No confirmed earnings date is currently scheduled for SW. The Earnings section lists recent reports and updates as dates are announced.
What sector does Smurfit Westrock plc operate in?
Smurfit Westrock plc operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, within the Packaging & Containers industry. The Related Stocks section lists sector peers for comparison.
What does Smurfit Westrock plc do?
Smurfit WestRock PLC manufactures corrugated packaging and consumer packaging, such as folding cartons and paperboard.
About Smurfit Westrock plc (SW) Stock
Smurfit Westrock plc (SW) is a US-listed stock operating in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically the Packaging & Containers industry. As of the latest update, Smurfit Westrock plc is trading at $41.16, down 0.19% on the day with a market capitalization of $21.5 billion. The financial health score for SW is 37/100, which indicates weak financial strength based on profitability, leverage, liquidity, and growth metrics. This page provides real-time pre-market pricing, earnings calendar, financial health analysis, and valuation metrics for SW stock.
SW Stock Analysis & Key Metrics
On PreMarketPrice, you can track Smurfit Westrock plc (SW) across multiple dimensions:
- Pre-market price & movement: Real-time SW stock price with percentage change, updated continuously during pre-market and regular trading hours.
- Valuation & P/E history: Historical P/E, P/S, and P/B ratios for SW with trend analysis and normalized valuation multiples.
- Financial statements: Revenue, net income, assets, liabilities, and equity for Smurfit Westrock plc across multiple reporting periods.
- Financial health score: A composite score of 37/100 based on Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, profitability, and leverage metrics for SW.
- Sector peers: Compare SW against 4 other consumer cyclical stocks on key financial metrics.
Is SW a Good Stock to Buy?
This page provides data-driven analysis to help you evaluate Smurfit Westrock plc (SW) as an investment. The financial health score of 37/100 suggests weak financial fundamentals. Valuation metrics show whether the stock is trading above or below its historical average.However, this is not financial advice — always do your own research before investing.
Data on this page is sourced from real-time market feeds, Polygon.io, and Finnhub.Smurfit Westrock plc (SW) trades on NYSE/NASDAQ. Pre-market trading occurs 4:00 AM – 9:30 AM ET. Regular market hours are 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET.