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Warner Music Group Corp. Class A Common Stock (WMG) logo

Stock Analysis

Warner Music Group Corp. Class A Common StockWMG

Price:$31.40Market Closed+2.31%at last close

P/E 24.44×· 5Y range 19.47–92.48×· bottom 6% of history

Sector: Consumer Cyclical · Industry: Services-Amusement & Recreation Services

AnalystsStrong Buy23 analysts
Mkt Cap 16.43BP/E 24.4Div Yield 2.46%ROE 61.9%
Low 19.5×24.4×High 92.5×

P/E 24.4× sits at the 6th percentile of its 5.0513347022587265-year history.

Cash $0.62BNet debt $4.30BDebt $4.92B

Cash covers 13% of debt · Q3 2026.

Profilev77g49p62h31q85m58

PMP Verdict

Mixed fundamentals, cheap valuation

Strengths

  • Quality85
  • Profitability62

Risks

  • Financial Health31
  • Growth49
Revenue +6.1% CAGRP/E 24× · 6th pctl

Mixed business trading cheap — priced for skepticism.

Market context

+2.3% today· Z 1.0σ· RVOL 1.5×

Bull Case

  • ✓ROE 61.9% — efficient capital deployment
  • ✓P/E 24.4× at bottom 6% of 5-year history

What's happening with WMG

Warner Music Group (WMG) Moves 6.2% Higher: Will This Strength Last? — Yahoo, 22h agoLast big move: +5.4% on 2026-10-15

Profile

Valuation — 77/100 (Strong) P/E vs own history: 6th pct → 25/25 FCF yield: 5.1% → 20/25 P/S: 2.2x → 20/25 EV/EBIT: 20.7x → 12/25Valuation77Growth — 49/100 (Weak) Revenue CAGR: 6.1% → 12/25 Net income CAGR: 4.7% → 6/25 EPS CAGR 5Y: 4.3% → 6/25 Fwd implied growth: 59.1% → 25/25Growth49Profitability — 62/100 (Moderate) ROIC: 14.7% → 12/25 ROE: 61.9% → 25/25 Net margin: 9.2% → 13/25 Operating margin: 13.7% → 12/25Profitability62Financial Health — 31/100 (Weak) Altman Z: 1.52 → 10/25 Current ratio: 0.73 → 6/25 Interest coverage: 4.6x → 10/25 Net cash / debt: D/A 40% → 5/25Health31Quality — 85/100 (Strong) Piotroski F: 5/9 → 15/25 Beneish M: -2.54 → 25/25 FCF conversion: 124% → 25/25 Margin stability: σ 5.2% → 20/25Quality85Moat — 58/100 (Moderate) ROIC >12% years: 6/9 yrs → 13/25 Median gross margin: 47.4% → 20/25 FCF-positive years: 9/9 yrs → 25/25 Worst-year net margin: worst -10.6% → 0/25Moat58

Strong earnings quality and valuation; financial health and growth lag behind.

How is each axis scored?
  • Valuation77/100 · Strong
    • P/E vs own history (6th pct)25/25
    • FCF yield (5.1%)20/25
    • P/S (2.2x)20/25
    • EV/EBIT (20.7x)12/25
  • Growth49/100 · Weak
    • Revenue CAGR (6.1%)12/25
    • Net income CAGR (4.7%)6/25
    • EPS CAGR 5Y (4.3%)6/25
    • Fwd implied growth (59.1%)25/25
  • Profitability62/100 · Moderate
    • ROIC (14.7%)12/25
    • ROE (61.9%)25/25
    • Net margin (9.2%)13/25
    • Operating margin (13.7%)12/25
  • Financial Health31/100 · Weak
    • Altman Z (1.52)10/25
    • Current ratio (0.73)6/25
    • Interest coverage (4.6x)10/25
    • Net cash / debt (D/A 40%)5/25
  • Quality85/100 · Strong
    • Piotroski F (5/9)15/25
    • Beneish M (-2.54)25/25
    • FCF conversion (124%)25/25
    • Margin stability (σ 5.2%)20/25
  • Moat58/100 · Moderate
    • ROIC >12% years (6/9 yrs)13/25
    • Median gross margin (47.4%)20/25
    • FCF-positive years (9/9 yrs)25/25
    • Worst-year net margin (worst -10.6%)0/25

Risk Flags

  • ⚠Altman Z 1.5 — distress-zone balance sheet

About Warner Music Group Corp. Class A Common Stock

Warner Music is the third-largest of the three major record companies. Show more

Recorded music accounts for most of the firm's revenue, with the segment housing notable record labels including Atlantic Records, Warner Records, Elektra Records. Some of the most successful current artists signed to record deals with Warner include Ed Sheeran, Bruno Mars, Cardi B, and Dua Lipa. Warner's remaining revenue comes from its publishing business, where Warner Chappell represents more than 180,000 songwriters and composers, some of whom are also Warner recording artists but many of whom are not recording artists or are attached to other labels. Warner Chappell controls more than 1 million musical compositions. Access Industries controls 98% of Warner's voting rights, while holding a 72% economic interest.

Headquarters: NEW YORK, NY · Employees: 5,500 · Website ↗

Price History

Weekly Candlestick Chart — up to 5Y

Key Metrics

Financial snapshot · Tap any metric for its definition and grade

TTM Snapshot

trailing twelve months · YoY
Revenue
7.3B+13%
Op. Income
1B+44%
Net Income
672M+126%
EPS
1.28+124%
Operating CF
939M+25%
Free CF
836M+38%

Valuation

77B+
P/E (TTM)24.4xB

Grade B: FairPrice / TTM EPS (own statements) — vs own 5Y history: 19.5x–92.5x · 6th pct

P/FCF27.4xB

Grade B: FairPrice / Free Cash Flow per share (Finnhub). Inverse of FCF yield — negative when FCF is negative

FCF Yield5.1%A

Grade A: ValueTTM (OCF − CapEx) / Market Cap — vs own 5Y history: 1.9%–6.4% · 88th pct

P/S (TTM)2.25xB

Grade B: FairPrice / TTM Revenue (own statements) — vs own 5Y history: 1.8x–5.0x · 20th pct

EV/EBIT20.7xC

Grade C: ExpensiveEnterprise value / TTM EBIT (D&A not in our data) — capital-structure neutral — vs own 5Y history: 16.4x–47.4x · 10th pct

EV/Sales2.8xB

Grade B: FairEnterprise Value / TTM Revenue (Finnhub) — capital-structure neutral sales multiple

Forward P/E15.4xB

Grade B: FairPrice / next-year EPS estimate — shows whether the TTM multiple is rich or just front-loading growth

P/B Ratio15.13xD

Grade D: Very expensivePrice to Book Value. Neg. equity = heavy buybacks

PEG Ratio0.51A

Grade A: CheapFinnhub PEG — their P/E basis ÷ expected EPS growth. Suppressed when their P/E diverges >2× from our TTM P/E (different basis)

Dividend Yield2.46%A

Grade A: PaysTTM dividend yield (Finnhub) — annual dividends / price. None = no dividend; very high yield can signal distress

Payout Ratio59.5%A

Grade A: SafeDividends / Net Income (Finnhub) — share of earnings paid out; >90% or negative = unsustainable

P/E vs own 5Y historyBelow average · 6th pct

Profitability

62B
ROIC14.7%C

Grade C: AverageNOPAT (EBIT less ~21% tax) / invested capital (equity + debt − cash). Flagship quality metric — durable >15% signals a moat

ROE61.9%A

Grade A: StrongReturn on Equity. Neg. equity = heavy buybacks

ROA6.5%C

Grade C: AverageReturn on Assets (Finnhub) — Net Income / Total Assets; how efficiently assets produce profit

Net Margin9.2%C

Grade C: AverageNet Income / Revenue

Operating Margin13.7%C

Grade C: AverageTTM EBIT / TTM Revenue

Gross Margin45.8%C

Grade C: AverageGross Profit / Revenue

FCF Margin11.4%C

Grade C: AverageFCF / Revenue

True FCF Margin10.8%C

Grade C: AverageTTM (OCF − CapEx − SBC) / TTM Revenue — SBC treated as a real cost

Growth

49D+
Revenue CAGR6.1%C

Grade C: OkCompound annual revenue growth (up to 5Y depending on data availability)

Net Income CAGR4.7%D

Grade D: LowCompound annual net income growth (up to 5Y depending on data availability)

EPS CAGR (5Y)4.3%D

Grade D: LowCompound annual EPS growth over up to 5Y of per-share earnings (own statements). Null when either endpoint EPS ≤ 0

Implied EPS Growth59.1%A

Grade A: HighAnalyst forward EPS (normalized basis) vs our GAAP TTM EPS — different bases, so extreme values usually mark cyclically depressed TTM earnings, not real growth

Dilution (5Y)+1.9%B

Grade B: FlatShare count change over 5Y

SBC / Net Income6.5%A

Grade A: LowStock-based comp/Net income. >30% = dilution risk

SBC / Revenue0.6%A

Grade A: LowTTM stock-based comp / TTM Revenue

Financial Health

31D
Altman Z-Score1.52D

Grade D: DistressBankruptcy risk. >3 Safe, <1.8 Distress

Current Ratio0.73xD

Grade D: LowCurrent Assets/Liabilities

Quick Ratio0.52xC

Grade C: Ok(Current Assets − Inventory) / Current Liabilities (Finnhub) — stricter liquidity test, excludes inventory

Interest Coverage4.6xC

Grade C: OkEBIT/Interest. >10 Strong

Debt Repayment5.1yC

Grade C: AverageYears to repay net debt via FCF

Net Debt/EBIT4.3xD

Grade D: HighLeverage. <2x Low, >4x High

Debt/Equity4.53xD

Grade D: HighDebt / Equity: <1 Conservative, >2 Risky. Not meaningful with non-positive equity; shown as unavailable rather than low debt.

Cash / Debt0.13xD

Grade D: ThinCash covers how much of total debt. >1 = could repay all debt from cash

Quality

85A
Piotroski F-Score5/9C

Grade C: AverageFinancial strength 0–9. >7 Strong

Beneish M-Score-2.54A

Grade A: SafeEarnings manipulation risk. < -2.22 Safe

FCF Conversion124.4%A

Grade A: StrongFCF / Net Income

Margin Stability5.2%A

Grade A: StableEBIT margin std deviation. Lower = stable

Capex / Revenue1.4%A

Grade A: Asset-lightTTM CapEx / TTM Revenue — high % = capital-hungry business

Asset Turnover0.71xC

Grade C: AverageRevenue / Total Assets (Finnhub) — how efficiently the asset base generates sales

1/9 Loss Years

Insider Transactions

SEC Form 4 · 8 records
Open-market · 90dBuy —Sell —Other filings 6No open-market trades

P/S codes are the directional signal; grants, option exercises and tax withholding carry none. Form 4 doesn't flag 10b5-1 plans — scheduled sales may appear within open-market sells.

Recent insider transactions
Trade dateTransactionShares
Hertz Noreena
Filed
Grant / award
+45
Kreiz Ynon
Filed
Grant / award
+45
Dubuc Nancy
Filed
Grant / award
+45
Kurzman Cecelia
Filed
Grant / award
+84
Dopfner Mathias
Filed
Grant / award
+45
Show 3 more filings
Additional recent insider transactions
Trade dateTransactionShares
Lynton Michael
Filed
Grant / award
+122
Kreiz Ynon
Filed
Grant / award
+38
Hertz Noreena
Filed
Grant / award
+38
More metrics — Moat, Per Share, Balance Sheet, Market

Moat

58C
ROIC >12% Years6/9 yrsC

Grade C: ModerateShare of completed fiscal years with ROIC > 12% — measures multi-year capital-return durability

Gross Margin (Med.)47.4%A

Grade A: DurableMedian annual gross margin across available fiscal years — pricing-power durability

FCF-Positive Years9/9 yrsA

Grade A: DurableShare of completed fiscal years with positive free cash flow

Net Margin Floor-10.6%D

Grade D: WeakWeakest annual net margin across completed fiscal years — recession/downcycle resilience

Per Share

EPS (TTM)$1.28

Own TTM net income / shares — same earnings basis as P/E

Cash / Share$1.18

Cash & short-term investments per share (Finnhub)

Book Value / Share$1.63

Shareholders' equity per share (Finnhub). Negative = accumulated losses / heavy buybacks

Balance Sheet

Total Debt$4.92B

Total debt obligations (short + long term)

Cash & Equiv.$618.00M

Cash and short-term investments

Net Debt$4.30B

Total Debt minus Cash. Negative = Net Cash position

Total Equity$1.09B

Shareholders' equity (book value)

Asset / Liability1.11xC

Grade C: AdequateTotal Assets / Total Liabilities

Market

Market Cap$16.43B

Current Market Capitalization

Beta1.35C

Grade C: VolatilePrice sensitivity vs the market (Finnhub) — 1.0 moves with market, >1.2 amplifies swings

How grades work: each metric is graded A–D against fixed thresholds (tap a row for the meaning). Card grades map the pillar score to A+–E — a card grade is that pillar's own score, not an average of the rows shown.

Financials as of Jun 2026 · Ratio snapshot Oct 17, 2026

Key Insights: Warner Music Group Corp. Class A Common Stock (WMG)

WMG is up 2.31% at the last close. Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates mixed fundamentals for Warner Music Group Corp. Class A Common Stock. Altman Z-Score of 1.52 is below the 1.81 distress threshold — an elevated financial-risk flag. Beneish M-Score of -2.54 suggests a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. Takes ~5.1 years to repay net debt from free cash flow.

  • Warner Music Group Corp. Class A Common Stock posted a net loss in 1 of 9 available completed fiscal years (2017–2025).
  • At a valuation score of 77/100, WMG trades near the cheapest end of its own historical range (P/E 24.4).
  • Return on equity of 61.9% is well above the market average.
  • The stock currently yields 2.5% in dividends.

See how WMG ranks on the Capex Tracker — top 50 capital spenders compared.

Recent Market Moves

See all WMG moves →
DateSessionPriceMoveZ-Score
Oct 15Regular30.47+5.40%3.86
Oct 15After-hours30.69+6.16%4.40
Oct 5Regular27.63+3.02%2.30
Oct 5After-hours27.63+3.04%2.32

Frequently Asked Questions about WMG

What is the current Warner Music Group Corp. Class A Common Stock (WMG) stock price?

WMG is trading at $31.40 at the last market close, up 2.31% on the session. PreMarketPrice tracks WMG pre-market, intraday and after-hours prices.

Is WMG stock a buy right now?

PreMarketPrice's quantitative model rates Warner Music Group Corp. Class A Common Stock's financial health at 31/100. This is a data-driven snapshot of fundamentals, not investment advice.

Is WMG stock overvalued?

Warner Music Group Corp. Class A Common Stock trades at a trailing P/E of 24.4 and our valuation score rates it 77/100 (higher = cheaper vs. its own history). See the Valuation History and Key Metrics sections for forward P/E, EV/EBITDA and PEG context.

When does Warner Music Group Corp. Class A Common Stock report earnings?

No confirmed earnings date is currently scheduled for WMG. The Earnings section lists recent reports and updates as dates are announced.

What sector does Warner Music Group Corp. Class A Common Stock operate in?

Warner Music Group Corp. Class A Common Stock operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, within the Services-Amusement & Recreation Services industry. The Related Stocks section lists sector peers for comparison.

What does Warner Music Group Corp. Class A Common Stock do?

Warner Music is the third-largest of the three major record companies.

About Warner Music Group Corp. Class A Common Stock (WMG) Stock

Warner Music Group Corp. Class A Common Stock (WMG) is a US-listed stock operating in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically the Services-Amusement & Recreation Services industry. As of the latest update, Warner Music Group Corp. Class A Common Stock is trading at $31.40, up 2.31% on the day with a market capitalization of $16.4 billion. The financial health score for WMG is 31/100, which indicates weak financial strength based on profitability, leverage, liquidity, and growth metrics. This page provides real-time pre-market pricing, earnings calendar, financial health analysis, and valuation metrics for WMG stock.

WMG Stock Analysis & Key Metrics

On PreMarketPrice, you can track Warner Music Group Corp. Class A Common Stock (WMG) across multiple dimensions:

Is WMG a Good Stock to Buy?

This page provides data-driven analysis to help you evaluate Warner Music Group Corp. Class A Common Stock (WMG) as an investment. The financial health score of 31/100 suggests weak financial fundamentals. Valuation metrics show whether the stock is trading above or below its historical average.However, this is not financial advice — always do your own research before investing.

Data on this page is sourced from real-time market feeds, Polygon.io, and Finnhub.Warner Music Group Corp. Class A Common Stock (WMG) trades on NYSE/NASDAQ. Pre-market trading occurs 4:00 AM – 9:30 AM ET. Regular market hours are 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET.

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