Stock Analysis
Dollar Tree Inc.DLTR
P/E 18.17×· 5Y range 13.03–28.95×· bottom 16% of history
Sector: Consumer Cyclical · Industry: Retail-Variety Stores
AnalystsHold35 analystsP/E 18.2× sits at the 16th percentile of its 5.086926762491444-year history.
Cash covers 14% of debt · Q2 2027.
PMP Verdict
Mixed fundamentals, cheap valuation
Strengths
- Quality90
- Financial Health60
Risks
- Growth20
Mixed business trading cheap — priced for skepticism.
Bull Case
- ✓ROE 37.4% — efficient capital deployment
- ✓Interest coverage 20.1× — debt well covered
- ✓P/E 18.2× at bottom 16% of 5-year history
What's happening with DLTR
Profile
Strong earnings quality and valuation; growth lags behind.
How is each axis scored?
- Valuation82/100 · Strong
- P/E vs own history (16th pct)25/25
- FCF yield (5.7%)20/25
- P/S (1.2x)25/25
- EV/EBIT (23.8x)12/25
- Growth20/100 · Weak
- Revenue CAGR (-9.0%)0/25
- Net income CAGR (-5.6%)0/25
- EPS CAGR 5Y (-3.6%)0/25
- Fwd implied growth (24.7%)20/25
- Profitability55/100 · Moderate
- ROIC (9.9%)12/25
- ROE (37.4%)25/25
- Net margin (6.6%)13/25
- Operating margin (6.5%)5/25
- Financial Health60/100 · Moderate
- Altman Z (2.58)18/25
- Current ratio (1.13)12/25
- Interest coverage (20.1x)25/25
- Net cash / debt (D/A 47%)5/25
- Quality90/100 · Strong
- Piotroski F (5/9)15/25
- Beneish M (-3.87)25/25
- FCF conversion (103%)25/25
- Margin stability (σ 2.7%)25/25
- Moat58/100 · Moderate
- ROIC >12% years (8/11 yrs)20/25
- Median gross margin (30.9%)13/25
- FCF-positive years (11/11 yrs)25/25
- Worst-year net margin (worst -17.2%)0/25
Risk Flags
- ⚠3 loss-making years in recent history
- ⚠Revenue shrinking 9.0%/yr
About Dollar Tree Inc.
Founded in 1986, Dollar Tree operates almost 9,000 small-box discount stores across the United States and Canada, offering roughly 85% of its merchandise under $2. Show more
The chain targets value-conscious suburban and urban shoppers with a mix of consumables (49% of sales), variety (45%), and seasonal goods (6%). In fiscal 2025, Dollar Tree generated over $19 billion in sales, through its multi-price strategy, higher-margin discretionary assortments, and private-label products that account for nearly one-third of sales.
Headquarters: CHESAPEAKE, VA · Employees: 153,032 · Website ↗
Price History
Weekly Candlestick Chart — up to 5Y
Key Metrics
Financial snapshot · Tap any metric for its definition and grade
TTM Snapshot
trailing twelve months · YoYValuation
82AP/E (TTM)18.2xB
Grade B: FairPrice / TTM EPS (own statements) — vs own 5Y history: 13.0x–29.0x · 16th pct
P/FCF11.4xA
Grade A: CheapPrice / Free Cash Flow per share (Finnhub). Inverse of FCF yield — negative when FCF is negative
FCF Yield5.7%A
Grade A: ValueTTM (OCF − CapEx) / Market Cap — vs own 5Y history: -0.2%–9.4% · 89th pct
P/S (TTM)1.20xA
Grade A: CheapPrice / TTM Revenue (own statements) — vs own 5Y history: 0.4x–3.3x · 57th pct
EV/EBIT23.8xC
Grade C: ExpensiveEnterprise value / TTM EBIT (D&A not in our data) — capital-structure neutral — vs own 5Y history: 10.7x–23.9x · highest in history
EV/Sales1.2xA
Grade A: CheapEnterprise Value / TTM Revenue (Finnhub) — capital-structure neutral sales multiple
Forward P/E14.6xA
Grade A: CheapPrice / next-year EPS estimate — shows whether the TTM multiple is rich or just front-loading growth
P/B Ratio6.80xC
Grade C: ExpensivePrice to Book Value. Neg. equity = heavy buybacks
PEG Ratio1.02B
Grade B: FairFinnhub PEG — their P/E basis ÷ expected EPS growth. Suppressed when their P/E diverges >2× from our TTM P/E (different basis)
Dividend Yield—
TTM dividend yield (Finnhub) — annual dividends / price. None = no dividend; very high yield can signal distress
Payout Ratio—
Dividends / Net Income (Finnhub) — share of earnings paid out; >90% or negative = unsustainable
Profitability
55CROIC9.9%C
Grade C: AverageNOPAT (EBIT less ~21% tax) / invested capital (equity + debt − cash). Flagship quality metric — durable >15% signals a moat
ROE37.4%A
Grade A: StrongReturn on Equity. Neg. equity = heavy buybacks
ROA11.7%A
Grade A: StrongReturn on Assets (Finnhub) — Net Income / Total Assets; how efficiently assets produce profit
Net Margin6.6%C
Grade C: AverageNet Income / Revenue
Operating Margin6.5%D
Grade D: LowTTM EBIT / TTM Revenue
Gross Margin34.8%C
Grade C: AverageGross Profit / Revenue
FCF Margin6.8%D
Grade D: LowFCF / Revenue
True FCF Margin6.5%C
Grade C: AverageTTM (OCF − CapEx − SBC) / TTM Revenue — SBC treated as a real cost
Growth
20ERevenue CAGR-9.0%D
Grade D: LowCompound annual revenue growth (up to 5Y depending on data availability)
Net Income CAGR-5.6%D
Grade D: LowCompound annual net income growth (up to 5Y depending on data availability)
EPS CAGR (5Y)-3.6%D
Grade D: LowCompound annual EPS growth over up to 5Y of per-share earnings (own statements). Null when either endpoint EPS ≤ 0
Implied EPS Growth24.7%C
Grade C: MedAnalyst forward EPS (normalized basis) vs our GAAP TTM EPS — different bases, so extreme values usually mark cyclically depressed TTM earnings, not real growth
Dilution (5Y)-16.9%A
Grade A: BuybacksShare count change over 5Y
SBC / Net Income4.6%A
Grade A: LowStock-based comp/Net income. >30% = dilution risk
SBC / Revenue0.3%A
Grade A: LowTTM stock-based comp / TTM Revenue
Financial Health
60BAltman Z-Score2.58C
Grade C: Gray zoneBankruptcy risk. >3 Safe, <1.8 Distress
Current Ratio1.13xC
Grade C: OkCurrent Assets/Liabilities
Quick Ratio0.39xD
Grade D: Low(Current Assets − Inventory) / Current Liabilities (Finnhub) — stricter liquidity test, excludes inventory
Interest Coverage20.1xA
Grade A: StrongEBIT/Interest. >10 Strong
Debt Repayment5.0yC
Grade C: AverageYears to repay net debt via FCF
Net Debt/EBIT5.3xD
Grade D: HighLeverage. <2x Low, >4x High
Debt/Equity2.24xD
Grade D: HighDebt / Equity: <1 Conservative, >2 Risky. Not meaningful with non-positive equity; shown as unavailable rather than low debt.
Cash / Debt0.14xD
Grade D: ThinCash covers how much of total debt. >1 = could repay all debt from cash
Quality
90A+Piotroski F-Score5/9C
Grade C: AverageFinancial strength 0–9. >7 Strong
Beneish M-Score-3.87A
Grade A: SafeEarnings manipulation risk. < -2.22 Safe
FCF Conversion102.9%A
Grade A: StrongFCF / Net Income
Margin Stability2.7%A
Grade A: StableEBIT margin std deviation. Lower = stable
Capex / Revenue5.8%C
Grade C: AverageTTM CapEx / TTM Revenue — high % = capital-hungry business
Asset Turnover1.46xA
Grade A: HighRevenue / Total Assets (Finnhub) — how efficiently the asset base generates sales
Insider Transactions
SEC Form 4 · 8 recordsP/S codes are the directional signal; grants, option exercises and tax withholding carry none. Form 4 doesn't flag 10b5-1 plans — scheduled sales may appear within open-market sells.
| Trade date | Insider | Transaction | Shares | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Stahl Stephanie Filed | Stahl Stephanie | Grant / award | +393 | |
KELLY EDWARD J III Filed | KELLY EDWARD J III | Grant / award | +328 | |
Stahl Stephanie Filed | Stahl Stephanie | SellOpen market sale | -1185 | |
Aflatooni Robert Filed | Aflatooni Robert | SellOpen market sale | -2500 | |
Maheshwari Aditya Filed | Maheshwari Aditya | Tax withholding | -127 |
Show 3 more filingsShow fewer filings
| Trade date | Insider | Transaction | Shares | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Stahl Stephanie Filed | Stahl Stephanie | SellC | -1185 | |
Stahl Stephanie Filed | Stahl Stephanie | BuyC | +1.2K | |
Schumacher Steven Filed | Schumacher Steven | Tax withholding | -282 |
More metrics — Moat, Per Share, Balance Sheet, MarketHide additional metrics
Moat
58CROIC >12% Years8/11 yrsA
Grade A: DurableShare of completed fiscal years with ROIC > 12% — measures multi-year capital-return durability
Gross Margin (Med.)30.9%C
Grade C: ModerateMedian annual gross margin across available fiscal years — pricing-power durability
FCF-Positive Years11/11 yrsA
Grade A: DurableShare of completed fiscal years with positive free cash flow
Net Margin Floor-17.2%D
Grade D: WeakWeakest annual net margin across completed fiscal years — recession/downcycle resilience
Per Share
EPS (TTM)$6.84
Own TTM net income / shares — same earnings basis as P/E
Cash / Share$5.64
Cash & short-term investments per share (Finnhub)
Book Value / Share$18.25
Shareholders' equity per share (Finnhub). Negative = accumulated losses / heavy buybacks
Balance Sheet
Total Debt$7.67B
Total debt obligations (short + long term)
Cash & Equiv.$1.06B
Cash and short-term investments
Net Debt$6.61B
Total Debt minus Cash. Negative = Net Cash position
Total Equity$3.43B
Shareholders' equity (book value)
Asset / Liability1.32xC
Grade C: AdequateTotal Assets / Total Liabilities
Market
Market Cap$23.30B
Current Market Capitalization
Beta0.72B
Grade B: DefensivePrice sensitivity vs the market (Finnhub) — 1.0 moves with market, >1.2 amplifies swings
How grades work: each metric is graded A–D against fixed thresholds (tap a row for the meaning). Card grades map the pillar score to A+–E — a card grade is that pillar's own score, not an average of the rows shown.
Financials as of Aug 2026 · Ratio snapshot Oct 17, 2026
Key Insights: Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR)
Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates mixed fundamentals for Dollar Tree Inc.. Altman Z-Score of 2.58 falls in the grey zone (1.81–2.99) — financial distress is unlikely but not ruled out. Beneish M-Score of -3.87 suggests a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. Revenue has been contracting (CAGR ≈ -9%), which weighs on the growth outlook.
- Takes ~5.0 years to repay net debt from free cash flow.
- Dollar Tree Inc. posted a net loss in 3 of 10 available completed fiscal years (2017–2026).
- At a valuation score of 82/100, DLTR trades near the cheapest end of its own historical range (P/E 18.2).
- Return on equity of 37.4% is well above the market average.
See how DLTR ranks on the Capex Tracker — top 50 capital spenders compared.
Recent Market Moves
See all DLTR moves →| Date | Session | Price | Move | Z-Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14 | Regular | 120.95 | +4.02% | 2.50 |
| Oct 14 | After-hours | 121.60 | +4.58% | 2.86 |
| Sep 22 | After-hours | 117.20 | +4.34% | 2.17 |
Frequently Asked Questions about DLTR
What is the current Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) stock price?
DLTR is trading at $124.18 at the last market close, down 0.18% on the session. PreMarketPrice tracks DLTR pre-market, intraday and after-hours prices.
Is DLTR stock a buy right now?
PreMarketPrice's quantitative model rates Dollar Tree Inc.'s financial health at 60/100. This is a data-driven snapshot of fundamentals, not investment advice.
Is DLTR stock overvalued?
Dollar Tree Inc. trades at a trailing P/E of 18.2 and our valuation score rates it 82/100 (higher = cheaper vs. its own history). See the Valuation History and Key Metrics sections for forward P/E, EV/EBITDA and PEG context.
When does Dollar Tree Inc. report earnings?
No confirmed earnings date is currently scheduled for DLTR. The Earnings section lists recent reports and updates as dates are announced.
What sector does Dollar Tree Inc. operate in?
Dollar Tree Inc. operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, within the Retail-Variety Stores industry. The Related Stocks section lists sector peers for comparison.
What does Dollar Tree Inc. do?
Founded in 1986, Dollar Tree operates almost 9,000 small-box discount stores across the United States and Canada, offering roughly 85% of its merchandise under $2.
About Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) Stock
Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) is a US-listed stock operating in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically the Retail-Variety Stores industry. As of the latest update, Dollar Tree Inc. is trading at $124.18, down 0.18% on the day with a market capitalization of $23.3 billion. The financial health score for DLTR is 60/100, which indicates good financial strength based on profitability, leverage, liquidity, and growth metrics. This page provides real-time pre-market pricing, earnings calendar, financial health analysis, and valuation metrics for DLTR stock.
DLTR Stock Analysis & Key Metrics
On PreMarketPrice, you can track Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) across multiple dimensions:
- Pre-market price & movement: Real-time DLTR stock price with percentage change, updated continuously during pre-market and regular trading hours.
- Valuation & P/E history: Historical P/E, P/S, and P/B ratios for DLTR with trend analysis and normalized valuation multiples.
- Financial statements: Revenue, net income, assets, liabilities, and equity for Dollar Tree Inc. across multiple reporting periods.
- Financial health score: A composite score of 60/100 based on Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, profitability, and leverage metrics for DLTR.
- Sector peers: Compare DLTR against 6 other consumer cyclical stocks on key financial metrics.
Is DLTR a Good Stock to Buy?
This page provides data-driven analysis to help you evaluate Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) as an investment. The financial health score of 60/100 suggests good financial fundamentals. Valuation metrics show whether the stock is trading above or below its historical average.However, this is not financial advice — always do your own research before investing.
Data on this page is sourced from real-time market feeds, Polygon.io, and Finnhub.Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) trades on NYSE/NASDAQ. Pre-market trading occurs 4:00 AM – 9:30 AM ET. Regular market hours are 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET.