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Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) logo

Stock Analysis

Royal Caribbean GroupRCL

Price:$277.68Market Closed-0.83%at last close

P/E 16.89×· 5Y range 14.01–40.86×· bottom 10% of history

Sector: Consumer Cyclical · Industry: Travel Services

AnalystsBuy36 analysts
EW Score 27/65 · #433Mkt Cap 74.11BP/E 16.9Div Yield 1.53%ROE 43.8%
Low 14.0×16.9×High 40.9×

P/E 16.9× sits at the 10th percentile of its 5.0978781656399725-year history.

Cash $0.82BNet debt $20.52BDebt $21.34B

Cash covers 4% of debt · FY 2025.

Profilev57g50p87h26q42m30

PMP Verdict

Mixed fundamentals, cheap valuation

Strengths

  • Profitability87

Risks

  • Financial Health26
  • Quality42
Revenue +85.0% CAGRP/E 17× · 10th pctl

Mixed business trading cheap — priced for skepticism.

Bull Case

  • ✓Piotroski F-Score 7/9 — high earnings quality
  • ✓ROE 43.8% — efficient capital deployment
  • ✓Revenue CAGR 85.0% — durable top-line growth
  • ✓P/E 16.9× at bottom 10% of 5-year history

What's happening with RCL

Profile

Valuation — 57/100 (Moderate) P/E vs own history: 10th pct → 25/25 FCF yield: -0.6% → 0/25 P/S: 4.0x → 20/25 EV/EBIT: 18.5x → 12/25Valuation57Growth — 50/100 (Moderate) Revenue CAGR: 85.0% → 25/25 Net income CAGR: n/a → 0/25 EPS CAGR 5Y: n/a → 0/25 Fwd implied growth: 40.6% → 25/25Growth50Profitability — 87/100 (Strong) ROIC: 13.2% → 12/25 ROE: 43.8% → 25/25 Net margin: 23.5% → 25/25 Operating margin: 27.3% → 25/25Profitability87Financial Health — 26/100 (Weak) Altman Z: 2.18 → 18/25 Current ratio: 0.18 → 0/25 Interest coverage: 1.8x → 3/25 Net cash / debt: D/A 49% → 5/25Health26Quality — 42/100 (Weak) Piotroski F: 7/9 → 22/25 Beneish M: -2.47 → 20/25 FCF conversion: -9% → 0/25 Margin stability: σ 422.5% → 0/25Quality42Moat — 30/100 (Weak) ROIC >12% years: 1/10 yrs → 0/25 Median gross margin: 44.1% → 20/25 FCF-positive years: 6/10 yrs → 10/25 Worst-year net margin: worst -343.3% → 0/25Moat30

Strong profitability; financial health, moat and earnings quality lag behind.

How is each axis scored?
  • Valuation57/100 · Moderate
    • P/E vs own history (10th pct)25/25
    • FCF yield (-0.6%)0/25
    • P/S (4.0x)20/25
    • EV/EBIT (18.5x)12/25
  • Growth50/100 · Moderate
    • Revenue CAGR (85.0%)25/25
    • Net income CAGR (n/a)0/25
    • EPS CAGR 5Y (n/a)0/25
    • Fwd implied growth (40.6%)25/25
  • Profitability87/100 · Strong
    • ROIC (13.2%)12/25
    • ROE (43.8%)25/25
    • Net margin (23.5%)25/25
    • Operating margin (27.3%)25/25
  • Financial Health26/100 · Weak
    • Altman Z (2.18)18/25
    • Current ratio (0.18)0/25
    • Interest coverage (1.8x)3/25
    • Net cash / debt (D/A 49%)5/25
  • Quality42/100 · Weak
    • Piotroski F (7/9)22/25
    • Beneish M (-2.47)20/25
    • FCF conversion (-9%)0/25
    • Margin stability (σ 422.5%)0/25
  • Moat30/100 · Weak
    • ROIC >12% years (1/10 yrs)0/25
    • Median gross margin (44.1%)20/25
    • FCF-positive years (6/10 yrs)10/25
    • Worst-year net margin (worst -343.3%)0/25

Risk Flags

  • ⚠Negative FCF margin (-0.0%) — burning cash
  • ⚠3 loss-making years in recent history
  • ⚠Interest coverage 1.8× — thin debt cushion

About Royal Caribbean Group

Royal Caribbean is the world's second-largest cruise company by revenues, operating 71 ships across five global and partner brands in the cruise vacation industry. Show more

Brands the company operates include Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, and Silversea. The company also has a 50% investment in a joint venture that operates TUI Cruises and Hapag-Lloyd Cruises. The selection of brands in the portfolio allows Royal to compete on the basis of innovation, quality of ships and service, variety of itineraries, choice of destinations, and price. The company completed the divestiture of its Azamara brand in 2021, plans to launch its new Celebrity River Cruise brand in 2027, and is set to operate eight private destination locations by 2028.

Headquarters: MIAMI, FL · Employees: 108,000 · Website ↗

Price History

Weekly Candlestick Chart — up to 5Y

Key Metrics

Financial snapshot · Tap any metric for its definition and grade

TTM Snapshot

trailing twelve months · YoY
Revenue
18.7B+9%
Op. Income
5.1B+13%
Net Income
4.4B+22%
EPS
16.3+24%
Operating CF
6.8B+18%
Free CF
-416M-112%

Valuation

57C
P/E (TTM)16.9xB

Grade B: FairPrice / TTM EPS (own statements) — vs own 5Y history: 14.0x–40.9x · 10th pct

P/FCF31.8xC

Grade C: ExpensivePrice / Free Cash Flow per share (Finnhub). Inverse of FCF yield — negative when FCF is negative · CapEx exceeds operating cash flow (106% of OCF) — reported FCF understates normalized earning power in this investment phase

FCF Yield-0.6%D

Grade D: NegativeTTM (OCF − CapEx) / Market Cap — vs own 5Y history: -49.2%–10.7% · 44th pct · CapEx exceeds operating cash flow (106% of OCF) — reported FCF understates normalized earning power in this investment phase

P/S (TTM)3.97xB

Grade B: FairPrice / TTM Revenue (own statements) — vs own 5Y history: 1.3x–246.2x · 57th pct

EV/EBIT18.5xC

Grade C: ExpensiveEnterprise value / TTM EBIT (D&A not in our data) — capital-structure neutral — vs own 5Y history: 15.8x–127.0x · 22nd pct

EV/Sales5.2xC

Grade C: ExpensiveEnterprise Value / TTM Revenue (Finnhub) — capital-structure neutral sales multiple

Forward P/E12.0xA

Grade A: CheapPrice / next-year EPS estimate — shows whether the TTM multiple is rich or just front-loading growth

P/B Ratio7.38xC

Grade C: ExpensivePrice to Book Value. Neg. equity = heavy buybacks

PEG Ratio1.15B

Grade B: FairFinnhub PEG — their P/E basis ÷ expected EPS growth. Suppressed when their P/E diverges >2× from our TTM P/E (different basis)

Dividend Yield1.53%A

Grade A: PaysTTM dividend yield (Finnhub) — annual dividends / price. None = no dividend; very high yield can signal distress

Payout Ratio26.1%A

Grade A: SafeDividends / Net Income (Finnhub) — share of earnings paid out; >90% or negative = unsustainable

P/E vs own 5Y historyBelow average · 10th pct

CapEx exceeds OCF: CapEx exceeds operating cash flow (106% of OCF) — reported FCF understates normalized earning power in this investment phase

Profitability

87A
ROIC13.2%C

Grade C: AverageNOPAT (EBIT less ~21% tax) / invested capital (equity + debt − cash). Flagship quality metric — durable >15% signals a moat

ROE43.8%A

Grade A: StrongReturn on Equity. Neg. equity = heavy buybacks

ROA10.4%A

Grade A: StrongReturn on Assets (Finnhub) — Net Income / Total Assets; how efficiently assets produce profit

Net Margin23.5%A

Grade A: HighNet Income / Revenue

Operating Margin27.3%A

Grade A: HighTTM EBIT / TTM Revenue

Gross Margin49.1%C

Grade C: AverageGross Profit / Revenue

FCF Margin-2.2%D

Grade D: LowFCF / Revenue · CapEx exceeds operating cash flow (106% of OCF) — reported FCF understates normalized earning power in this investment phase

True FCF Margin-3.0%D

Grade D: LowTTM (OCF − CapEx − SBC) / TTM Revenue — SBC treated as a real cost · CapEx exceeds operating cash flow (106% of OCF) — reported FCF understates normalized earning power in this investment phase

Growth

50C
Revenue CAGR85.0%A

Grade A: HighCompound annual revenue growth (up to 5Y depending on data availability)

Net Income CAGR—

Compound annual net income growth (up to 5Y depending on data availability)

EPS CAGR (5Y)—

Compound annual EPS growth over up to 5Y of per-share earnings (own statements). Null when either endpoint EPS ≤ 0

Implied EPS Growth40.6%A

Grade A: HighAnalyst forward EPS (normalized basis) vs our GAAP TTM EPS — different bases, so extreme values usually mark cyclically depressed TTM earnings, not real growth

Dilution (5Y)+7.5%C

Grade C: DilutiveShare count change over 5Y

SBC / Net Income3.4%A

Grade A: LowStock-based comp/Net income. >30% = dilution risk

SBC / Revenue0.8%A

Grade A: LowTTM stock-based comp / TTM Revenue

Financial Health

26E
Altman Z-Score2.18C

Grade C: Gray zoneBankruptcy risk. >3 Safe, <1.8 Distress

Current Ratio0.18xD

Grade D: LowCurrent Assets/Liabilities

Quick Ratio0.12xD

Grade D: Low(Current Assets − Inventory) / Current Liabilities (Finnhub) — stricter liquidity test, excludes inventory

Interest Coverage1.8xD

Grade D: RiskyEBIT/Interest. >10 Strong

Debt Repayment—

Years to repay net debt via FCF · CapEx exceeds operating cash flow (106% of OCF) — reported FCF understates normalized earning power in this investment phase

Net Debt/EBIT4.0xD

Grade D: HighLeverage. <2x Low, >4x High

Debt/Equity2.13xD

Grade D: HighDebt / Equity: <1 Conservative, >2 Risky. Not meaningful with non-positive equity; shown as unavailable rather than low debt.

Cash / Debt0.04xD

Grade D: ThinCash covers how much of total debt. >1 = could repay all debt from cash

Quality

42D+
Piotroski F-Score7/9A

Grade A: StrongFinancial strength 0–9. >7 Strong

Beneish M-Score-2.47A

Grade A: SafeEarnings manipulation risk. < -2.22 Safe

FCF Conversion-9.5%D

Grade D: PoorFCF / Net Income · CapEx exceeds operating cash flow (106% of OCF) — reported FCF understates normalized earning power in this investment phase

Margin Stability422.5%D

Grade D: VolatileEBIT margin std deviation. Lower = stable

Capex / Revenue38.6%D

Grade D: HeavyTTM CapEx / TTM Revenue — high % = capital-hungry business

Asset Turnover0.44xD

Grade D: LowRevenue / Total Assets (Finnhub) — how efficiently the asset base generates sales

3/10 Loss Years

Insider Transactions

SEC Form 4 · 8 records
Open-market · 90dBuy —Sell $4.0M (1)Other filings 1Net open-market selling

P/S codes are the directional signal; grants, option exercises and tax withholding carry none. Form 4 doesn't flag 10b5-1 plans — scheduled sales may appear within open-market sells.

Recent insider transactions
Trade dateTransactionShares
Bunch Tara
Filed
Grant / award
+683
Bayley Michael W
Filed
SellOpen market sale
-12811
BETHGE LAURA H
Filed
Tax withholding
-267
Wiernicki Christopher J
Filed
Grant / award
+571
Wiernicki Christopher J
Filed
Grant / award
+831
Show 3 more filings
Additional recent insider transactions
Trade dateTransactionShares
Wiernicki Christopher J
Filed
Tax withholding
-93
Yeung Rebecca
Filed
Tax withholding
-78
Howe Stephen R. Jr.
Filed
Grant / award
+831
More metrics — Moat, Per Share, Balance Sheet, Market

Moat

30D
ROIC >12% Years1/10 yrsD

Grade D: WeakShare of completed fiscal years with ROIC > 12% — measures multi-year capital-return durability

Gross Margin (Med.)44.1%A

Grade A: DurableMedian annual gross margin across available fiscal years — pricing-power durability

FCF-Positive Years6/10 yrsD

Grade D: WeakShare of completed fiscal years with positive free cash flow

Net Margin Floor-343.3%D

Grade D: WeakWeakest annual net margin across completed fiscal years — recession/downcycle resilience

Per Share

EPS (TTM)$16.44

Own TTM net income / shares — same earnings basis as P/E

Cash / Share$3.27

Cash & short-term investments per share (Finnhub)

Book Value / Share$38.27

Shareholders' equity per share (Finnhub). Negative = accumulated losses / heavy buybacks

Balance Sheet

Total Debt$21.34B

Total debt obligations (short + long term)

Cash & Equiv.$825.00M

Cash and short-term investments

Net Debt$20.52B

Total Debt minus Cash. Negative = Net Cash position

Total Equity$10.04B

Shareholders' equity (book value)

Asset / Liability1.33xC

Grade C: AdequateTotal Assets / Total Liabilities

Market

Market Cap$74.11B

Current Market Capitalization

Beta1.91D

Grade D: High volatilityPrice sensitivity vs the market (Finnhub) — 1.0 moves with market, >1.2 amplifies swings

How grades work: each metric is graded A–D against fixed thresholds (tap a row for the meaning). Card grades map the pillar score to A+–E — a card grade is that pillar's own score, not an average of the rows shown.

Financials as of Jun 2026 · Ratio snapshot Oct 17, 2026

Key Insights: Royal Caribbean Group (RCL)

RCL is down 0.83% at the last close. Royal Caribbean Group meets 7 of 9 Piotroski F-Score criteria, placing its fundamental strength in the top tier of US-listed stocks. Altman Z-Score of 2.18 falls in the grey zone (1.81–2.99) — financial distress is unlikely but not ruled out. Beneish M-Score of -2.47 suggests a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. Revenue has compounded at roughly 85% annually — a strong growth profile.

  • Free-cash-flow margin is negative (-2%) — the business currently burns cash.
  • Company has negative FCF, making debt repayment from operations difficult.
  • Interest coverage of 1.8× leaves little room for earnings shocks.
  • Royal Caribbean Group posted a net loss in 3 of 10 available completed fiscal years (2016–2025).
  • Return on equity of 43.8% is well above the market average.

See how RCL ranks on the Capex Tracker — top 50 capital spenders compared.

Recent Market Moves

See all RCL moves →
DateSessionPriceMoveZ-Score
Sep 29Regular260.94+7.56%3.83
Sep 24Regular240.41+4.39%3.05
Sep 24After-hours239.15+3.84%2.76
Sep 22Pre-market258.15+3.16%2.89
Sep 22Regular235.78-5.78%-3.78

Frequently Asked Questions about RCL

What is the current Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) stock price?

RCL is trading at $277.68 at the last market close, down 0.83% on the session. PreMarketPrice tracks RCL pre-market, intraday and after-hours prices.

Is RCL stock a buy right now?

PreMarketPrice's quantitative model rates Royal Caribbean Group's financial health at 26/100. This is a data-driven snapshot of fundamentals, not investment advice.

Is RCL stock overvalued?

Royal Caribbean Group trades at a trailing P/E of 16.9 and our valuation score rates it 57/100 (higher = cheaper vs. its own history). See the Valuation History and Key Metrics sections for forward P/E, EV/EBITDA and PEG context.

When does Royal Caribbean Group report earnings?

No confirmed earnings date is currently scheduled for RCL. The Earnings section lists recent reports and updates as dates are announced.

What sector does Royal Caribbean Group operate in?

Royal Caribbean Group operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, within the Travel Services industry. The Related Stocks section lists sector peers for comparison.

What does Royal Caribbean Group do?

Royal Caribbean is the world's second-largest cruise company by revenues, operating 71 ships across five global and partner brands in the cruise vacation industry.

About Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) Stock

Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) is a US-listed stock operating in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically the Travel Services industry. As of the latest update, Royal Caribbean Group is trading at $277.68, down 0.83% on the day with a market capitalization of $74.1 billion. The financial health score for RCL is 26/100, which indicates poor financial strength based on profitability, leverage, liquidity, and growth metrics. This page provides real-time pre-market pricing, earnings calendar, financial health analysis, and valuation metrics for RCL stock.

RCL Stock Analysis & Key Metrics

On PreMarketPrice, you can track Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) across multiple dimensions:

Is RCL a Good Stock to Buy?

This page provides data-driven analysis to help you evaluate Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) as an investment. The financial health score of 26/100 suggests poor financial fundamentals. Valuation metrics show whether the stock is trading above or below its historical average.However, this is not financial advice — always do your own research before investing.

Data on this page is sourced from real-time market feeds, Polygon.io, and Finnhub.Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) trades on NYSE/NASDAQ. Pre-market trading occurs 4:00 AM – 9:30 AM ET. Regular market hours are 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET.

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