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Stock Analysis

ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATIONAR

Price:$38.65Market Closed+6.06%at last close

P/E 10.96×· 5Y range 2.76–288.47×· 42th percentile of history

Sector: Energy · Industry: Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

AnalystsStrong Buy28 analysts
EW Score 36/65 · #186Mkt Cap 11.84BP/E 10.9ROE 14.4%
Low 2.8×11.0×High 288.5×

P/E 11.0× sits at the 42nd percentile of its 5.065023956194388-year history.

Profilev72g31p64h10q70m38

PMP Verdict

Weak fundamentals

Strengths

  • Quality70
  • Profitability64

Risks

  • Financial Health10
  • Growth31
Revenue +3.4% CAGRP/E 11× · 42nd pctl

Weak fundamentals — valuation is the only support.

Market context

+6.1% today· Z 2.7σ· Antero Resources surged 5.36% following a new Sector Outperform rating from Scotiabank and Morgan Stanley raising its target.

Bull Case

  • ✓Piotroski F-Score 9/9 — high earnings quality

Why is AR moving?

Sector

Antero Resources surged 5.36% following a new Sector Outperform rating from Scotiabank and Morgan Stanley raising its target.

AI confidence:High (90%)·+6.06% today

Profile

Valuation — 72/100 (Moderate) P/E vs own history: 42th pct → 12/25 FCF yield: 16.6% → 25/25 P/S: 1.9x → 25/25 EV/EBIT: n/a → 10/25Valuation72Growth — 31/100 (Weak) Revenue CAGR: 3.4% → 6/25 Net income CAGR: n/a → 0/25 EPS CAGR 5Y: n/a → 0/25 Fwd implied growth: 30.2% → 25/25Growth31Profitability — 64/100 (Moderate) ROIC: 13.3% → 12/25 ROE: 14.4% → 12/25 Net margin: 17.7% → 20/25 Operating margin: 24.7% → 20/25Profitability64Financial Health — 10/100 (Weak) Altman Z: 1.97 → 10/25 Current ratio: 0.55 → 0/25 Interest coverage: -0.5x → 0/25 Net cash / debt: n/a → 0/25Health10Quality — 70/100 (Moderate) Piotroski F: 9/9 → 25/25 Beneish M: -2.40 → 20/25 FCF conversion: 181% → 25/25 Margin stability: σ 36.1% → 0/25Quality70Moat — 38/100 (Weak) ROIC >12% years: 1/10 yrs → 0/25 Median gross margin: 33.7% → 13/25 FCF-positive years: 10/10 yrs → 25/25 Worst-year net margin: worst -48.7% → 0/25Moat38

financial health, growth and moat lag behind.

How is each axis scored?
  • Valuation72/100 · Moderate
    • P/E vs own history (42th pct)12/25
    • FCF yield (16.6%)25/25
    • P/S (1.9x)25/25
    • EV/EBIT (n/a)10/25
  • Growth31/100 · Weak
    • Revenue CAGR (3.4%)6/25
    • Net income CAGR (n/a)0/25
    • EPS CAGR 5Y (n/a)0/25
    • Fwd implied growth (30.2%)25/25
  • Profitability64/100 · Moderate
    • ROIC (13.3%)12/25
    • ROE (14.4%)12/25
    • Net margin (17.7%)20/25
    • Operating margin (24.7%)20/25
  • Financial Health10/100 · Weak
    • Altman Z (1.97)10/25
    • Current ratio (0.55)0/25
    • Interest coverage (-0.5x)0/25
    • Net cash / debt (n/a)0/25
  • Quality70/100 · Moderate
    • Piotroski F (9/9)25/25
    • Beneish M (-2.40)20/25
    • FCF conversion (181%)25/25
    • Margin stability (σ 36.1%)0/25
  • Moat38/100 · Weak
    • ROIC >12% years (1/10 yrs)0/25
    • Median gross margin (33.7%)13/25
    • FCF-positive years (10/10 yrs)25/25
    • Worst-year net margin (worst -48.7%)0/25

Risk Flags

  • ⚠5 loss-making years in recent history
  • ⚠Interest coverage -0.5× — thin debt cushion

About ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION

Antero Resources is an exploration and production firm whose operations represent a pure play in the Marcellus Shale, located in northern West Virginia. Show more

The company started in 2002 as an E&P focused on the Barnett Shale (Fort Worth, Texas). Antero redefined itself in Appalachia's Marcellus Shale in 2005. In 2012, shortly before Antero's 2013 IPO, Antero Midstream Partners was formed to handle the company's rapidly growing gas volumes. In 2026, the firm narrowed its focus further by selling its Ohio Utica assets and using the proceeds to acquire additional Marcellus acreage from HG Energy. Just over half of its production and earning power is tied to natural gas, with the remainder mostly NGLs, where it holds a leading position, and some crude oil.

Headquarters: DENVER, CO · Employees: 632 · Website ↗

Price History

Weekly Candlestick Chart — up to 5Y

Key Metrics

Financial snapshot · Tap any metric for its definition and grade

TTM Snapshot

trailing twelve months · YoY
Revenue
6.1B+26%
Op. Income
1.5B+219%
Net Income
1.1B+140%
EPS
3.49+143%
Operating CF
2B+42%
Free CF
2B+41%

Valuation

72B+
P/E (TTM)10.9xA

Grade A: CheapPrice / TTM EPS (own statements) — vs own 5Y history: 2.8x–288.5x · 42nd pct

P/FCF12.5xA

Grade A: CheapPrice / Free Cash Flow per share (Finnhub). Inverse of FCF yield — negative when FCF is negative

FCF Yield16.6%A

Grade A: ValueTTM (OCF − CapEx) / Market Cap — vs own 5Y history: 6.7%–45.0% · 60th pct

P/S (TTM)1.93xA

Grade A: CheapPrice / TTM Revenue (own statements) — vs own 5Y history: 0.8x–3.6x · 49th pct

EV/EBITDA6.1xA

Grade A: CheapEnterprise value / EBITDA (Finnhub) — capital-structure neutral — vs own 5Y history: 8.9x–9.5x · 90th pct

EV/Sales2.3xB

Grade B: FairEnterprise Value / TTM Revenue (Finnhub) — capital-structure neutral sales multiple

Forward P/E8.4xA

Grade A: CheapPrice / next-year EPS estimate — shows whether the TTM multiple is rich or just front-loading growth

P/B Ratio1.57xA

Grade A: FairPrice to Book Value. Neg. equity = heavy buybacks

PEG Ratio0.07A

Grade A: CheapFinnhub PEG — their P/E basis ÷ expected EPS growth. Suppressed when their P/E diverges >2× from our TTM P/E (different basis)

Dividend Yield—

TTM dividend yield (Finnhub) — annual dividends / price. None = no dividend; very high yield can signal distress

Payout Ratio—

Dividends / Net Income (Finnhub) — share of earnings paid out; >90% or negative = unsustainable

P/E vs own 5Y historyIn range · 42nd pct

Profitability

64B
ROIC13.3%C

Grade C: AverageNOPAT (EBIT less ~21% tax) / invested capital (equity + debt − cash). Flagship quality metric — durable >15% signals a moat

ROE14.4%C

Grade C: AverageReturn on Equity. Neg. equity = heavy buybacks

ROA7.6%C

Grade C: AverageReturn on Assets (Finnhub) — Net Income / Total Assets; how efficiently assets produce profit

Net Margin17.7%A

Grade A: HighNet Income / Revenue

Operating Margin24.7%C

Grade C: AverageTTM EBIT / TTM Revenue

Gross Margin21.5%D

Grade D: LowGross Profit / Revenue

FCF Margin32.1%A

Grade A: HighFCF / Revenue

True FCF Margin31.2%A

Grade A: HighTTM (OCF − CapEx − SBC) / TTM Revenue — SBC treated as a real cost

Growth

31D
Revenue CAGR3.4%D

Grade D: LowCompound annual revenue growth (up to 5Y depending on data availability)

Net Income CAGR—

Compound annual net income growth (up to 5Y depending on data availability)

EPS CAGR (5Y)—

Compound annual EPS growth over up to 5Y of per-share earnings (own statements). Null when either endpoint EPS ≤ 0

Implied EPS Growth30.2%A

Grade A: HighAnalyst forward EPS (normalized basis) vs our GAAP TTM EPS — different bases, so extreme values usually mark cyclically depressed TTM earnings, not real growth

Dilution (5Y)+1.7%B

Grade B: FlatShare count change over 5Y

SBC / Net Income5.1%A

Grade A: LowStock-based comp/Net income. >30% = dilution risk

SBC / Revenue0.9%A

Grade A: LowTTM stock-based comp / TTM Revenue

Financial Health

10E
Altman Z-Score1.97C

Grade C: Gray zoneBankruptcy risk. >3 Safe, <1.8 Distress

Current Ratio0.55xD

Grade D: LowCurrent Assets/Liabilities

Quick Ratio0.39xD

Grade D: Low(Current Assets − Inventory) / Current Liabilities (Finnhub) — stricter liquidity test, excludes inventory

Interest Coverage-0.5xD

Grade D: RiskyEBIT/Interest. >10 Strong

Debt Repayment—

Years to repay net debt via FCF

Net Debt/EBIT—

Leverage. <2x Low, >4x High

Debt/Equity0.19xA

Grade A: LowDebt / Equity: <1 Conservative, >2 Risky. Not meaningful with non-positive equity; shown as unavailable rather than low debt.

Cash / Debt—

Cash covers how much of total debt. >1 = could repay all debt from cash

Quality

70B+
Piotroski F-Score9/9A

Grade A: StrongFinancial strength 0–9. >7 Strong

Beneish M-Score-2.40A

Grade A: SafeEarnings manipulation risk. < -2.22 Safe

FCF Conversion181.4%A

Grade A: StrongFCF / Net Income

Margin Stability36.1%D

Grade D: VolatileEBIT margin std deviation. Lower = stable

Capex / Revenue0.2%A

Grade A: Asset-lightTTM CapEx / TTM Revenue — high % = capital-hungry business

Asset Turnover0.43xD

Grade D: LowRevenue / Total Assets (Finnhub) — how efficiently the asset base generates sales

5/10 Loss Years

Insider Transactions

SEC Form 4 · 8 records
Open-market · 90dBuy —Sell —Other filings 7No open-market trades

P/S codes are the directional signal; grants, option exercises and tax withholding carry none. Form 4 doesn't flag 10b5-1 plans — scheduled sales may appear within open-market sells.

Recent insider transactions
Trade dateTransactionShares
Munoz Jeffrey S.
Filed
Grant / award
+1.5K
Sutil Vicky
Filed
Grant / award
+1.5K
Hardesty Benjamin A.
Filed
Grant / award
+2.0K
Schroer Brenda R
Filed
Grant / award
+1.5K
Mutschler Jacqueline C
Filed
Grant / award
+1.5K
Show 3 more filings
Additional recent insider transactions
Trade dateTransactionShares
Keenan W Howard JR
Filed
Grant / award
+1.5K
Tyree Thomas B JR
Filed
Grant / award
+1.5K
Hardesty Benjamin A.
Filed
Grant / award
+2.2K
More metrics — Moat, Per Share, Balance Sheet, Market

Moat

38D
ROIC >12% Years1/10 yrsD

Grade D: WeakShare of completed fiscal years with ROIC > 12% — measures multi-year capital-return durability

Gross Margin (Med.)33.7%C

Grade C: ModerateMedian annual gross margin across available fiscal years — pricing-power durability

FCF-Positive Years10/10 yrsA

Grade A: DurableShare of completed fiscal years with positive free cash flow

Net Margin Floor-48.7%D

Grade D: WeakWeakest annual net margin across completed fiscal years — recession/downcycle resilience

Per Share

EPS (TTM)$3.53

Own TTM net income / shares — same earnings basis as P/E

Cash / Share$0.02

Cash & short-term investments per share (Finnhub)

Book Value / Share$26.94

Shareholders' equity per share (Finnhub). Negative = accumulated losses / heavy buybacks

Balance Sheet

Total Debt$1.40B

Total debt obligations (short + long term)

Cash & Equiv.—

Cash and short-term investments

Net Debt—

Total Debt minus Cash. Negative = Net Cash position

Total Equity$7.55B

Shareholders' equity (book value)

Asset / Liability2.40xA

Grade A: SolidTotal Assets / Total Liabilities

Market

Market Cap$11.84B

Current Market Capitalization

Beta0.54B

Grade B: DefensivePrice sensitivity vs the market (Finnhub) — 1.0 moves with market, >1.2 amplifies swings

How grades work: each metric is graded A–D against fixed thresholds (tap a row for the meaning). Card grades map the pillar score to A+–E — a card grade is that pillar's own score, not an average of the rows shown.

Financials as of Jun 2026 · Ratio snapshot Oct 16, 2026

Key Insights: ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION (AR)

AR is up 6.06% at the last close — Antero Resources surged 5.36% following a new Sector Outperform rating from Scotiabank and Morgan Stanley raising its target.. ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION meets 9 of 9 Piotroski F-Score criteria, placing its fundamental strength in the top tier of US-listed stocks. Altman Z-Score of 1.97 falls in the grey zone (1.81–2.99) — financial distress is unlikely but not ruled out. Beneish M-Score of -2.40 suggests a low likelihood of earnings manipulation.

  • ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION converts about 32% of revenue into free cash flow — strong cash generation.
  • Interest coverage of -0.5× leaves little room for earnings shocks.
  • ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION posted a net loss in 5 of 10 available completed fiscal years (2016–2025).
  • At a valuation score of 72/100, AR trades near the cheapest end of its own historical range (P/E 10.9).

See how AR ranks on the Capex Tracker — top 50 capital spenders compared.

Recent Market Moves

See all AR moves →
DateSessionPriceMoveZ-Score
Oct 16Regular38.55+5.79%2.72
Oct 16After-hours38.50+5.66%2.66
Oct 14After-hours36.21-3.55%-2.01

Frequently Asked Questions about AR

What is the current ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION (AR) stock price?

AR is trading at $38.65 at the last market close, up 6.06% on the session. PreMarketPrice tracks AR pre-market, intraday and after-hours prices.

Is AR stock a buy right now?

PreMarketPrice's quantitative model rates ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION's financial health at 10/100. This is a data-driven snapshot of fundamentals, not investment advice.

Is AR stock overvalued?

ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION trades at a trailing P/E of 10.9 and our valuation score rates it 72/100 (higher = cheaper vs. its own history). See the Valuation History and Key Metrics sections for forward P/E, EV/EBITDA and PEG context.

When does ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION report earnings?

No confirmed earnings date is currently scheduled for AR. The Earnings section lists recent reports and updates as dates are announced.

What sector does ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION operate in?

ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION operates in the Energy sector, within the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas industry. The Related Stocks section lists sector peers for comparison.

What does ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION do?

Antero Resources is an exploration and production firm whose operations represent a pure play in the Marcellus Shale, located in northern West Virginia.

About ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION (AR) Stock

ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION (AR) is a US-listed stock operating in the Energy sector, specifically the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas industry. As of the latest update, ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION is trading at $38.65, up 6.06% on the day with a market capitalization of $11.8 billion. The financial health score for AR is 10/100, which indicates poor financial strength based on profitability, leverage, liquidity, and growth metrics. This page provides real-time pre-market pricing, earnings calendar, financial health analysis, and valuation metrics for AR stock.

AR Stock Analysis & Key Metrics

On PreMarketPrice, you can track ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION (AR) across multiple dimensions:

Is AR a Good Stock to Buy?

This page provides data-driven analysis to help you evaluate ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION (AR) as an investment. The financial health score of 10/100 suggests poor financial fundamentals. Valuation metrics show whether the stock is trading above or below its historical average.However, this is not financial advice — always do your own research before investing.

Data on this page is sourced from real-time market feeds, Polygon.io, and Finnhub.ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION (AR) trades on NYSE/NASDAQ. Pre-market trading occurs 4:00 AM – 9:30 AM ET. Regular market hours are 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET.

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